May 14, 2022 5:52 AM CDT

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/14/2022

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 10-4 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 7-8 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Julio Urias is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Ranger Suarez. Julio Urias has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ranger Suarez has a 40% chance of a QS. If Julio Urias has a quality start the Dodgers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 67%. In Ranger Suarez quality starts the Phillies win 57%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Nick Castellanos who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 49% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-8, 47% 54Record at Home10-4, 71% 118Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers2-0, 100% 327VS Philadelphia Phillies0-2, 0% -200Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better11-10, 52% 22vs Team .500 or Better8-5, 62% 3Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog5-3, 62% 374Record As Home Favorite10-4, 71% 118Philadelphia Phillies
When Ranger Suarez Starts5-1, 83% 282When Julio Urias Starts4-3, 57% -60Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-8, 47% 54Record at Home10-4, 71% 118Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers2-0, 100% 327VS Philadelphia Phillies0-2, 0% -200Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better5-6, 45% 64vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 22Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog5-3, 62% 374Record As Home Favorite10-4, 71% 118Philadelphia Phillies
When Ranger Suarez Starts4-1, 80% 217When Julio Urias Starts4-2, 67% 40Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-5, 64% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS4-2, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Julio Urias STARTS2-5, 29% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-8, 47% -86 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-8, 43% +38 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-8, 47% -86 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-8, 43% +38

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-11, 27% -784 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 8-6, 57% -236 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-11, 27% -784 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 8-6, 57% -236

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70

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