May 14, 2022 5:52 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins 5/14/2022

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The Miami Marlins are 6-8 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 11-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers\' starter Eric Lauer is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins\' starter Trevor Rogers. Eric Lauer has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 59% chance of a QS. If Eric Lauer has a quality start the Brewers has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 53%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 61%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jazz Chisholm who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Rowdy Tellez who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-8, 58% 43Record at Home6-8, 43% -227Milwaukee Brewers
VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 69VS Milwaukee Brewers0-1, 0% -100Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .50019-9, 68% 321vs Team .500 or Better4-15, 21% -1087Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite9-6, 60% -37Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 118Miami Marlins
When Eric Lauer Starts5-0, 100% 397When Trevor Rogers Starts1-5, 17% -438Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 148Record at Home6-8, 43% -227Milwaukee Brewers
VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 69VS Milwaukee Brewers0-1, 0% -100Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .50016-6, 73% 426vs Team .500 or Better3-11, 21% -819Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite6-3, 67% 68Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 118Miami Marlins
When Eric Lauer Starts4-0, 100% 338When Trevor Rogers Starts1-4, 20% -338Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-8, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-6, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-44, 44% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Eric Lauer STARTS2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS2-4, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 9-10, 47% -108 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-8, 43% -123 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -226 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-8, 43% -123

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 9-10, 47% -417 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-10, 29% -624 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-6, 54% -129 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-10, 29% -624

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 9-7, 56% + 130 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40

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