May 14, 2022 5:52 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5/14/2022

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 7-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 4-15 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates\' starter Zach Thompson is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Luis Castillo. Zach Thompson has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Castillo has a 51% chance of a QS. If Zach Thompson has a quality start the Pirates has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 60%. In Luis Castillo quality starts the Reds win 62%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Tyler Stephenson who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-15, 21% -932Record at Home7-10, 41% -94Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates4-1, 80% 295VS Cincinnati Reds1-4, 20% -324Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% 244vs Team Under .5009-8, 53% 184Cincinnati Reds
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog5-7, 42% 40Pittsburgh Pirates
When Luis Castillo Starts1-0, 100% 130When Zach Thompson Starts1-5, 17% -392Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-13, 13% -1081Record at Home6-9, 40% -102Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates4-1, 80% 295VS Cincinnati Reds1-4, 20% -324Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% -5vs Team Under .5008-7, 53% 176Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog4-6, 40% 32Pittsburgh Pirates
When Luis Castillo Starts1-0, 100% 130When Zach Thompson Starts0-4, 0% -400Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-8, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-9, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-6, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zach Thompson STARTS3-3, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 12-7, 63% +380 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-8, 53% +262 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 10-5, 67% +466 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-8, 47% +67

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 15-4, 79% +382 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-8, 53% -210 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 13-2, 87% +468 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-7, 53% -197

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-11, 39% -510 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-7, 56% + 130 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-9, 40% -390 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70

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