The Pittsburgh Pirates are 7-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 3-15 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Mitch Keller has a 56% chance of a QS and Tyler Mahle a 52% chance. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 58%. If Tyler Mahle has a quality start the Reds has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 45%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Tyler Stephenson who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-15, 17% -1032 | Record at Home | 7-9, 44% 6 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1, 75% 195 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-3, 25% -224 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-5, 50% 144 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-7, 56% 284 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-15, 17% -1032 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -34 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Tyler Mahle Starts | 2-5, 29% -241 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 1-5, 17% -424 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-13, 7% -1181 | Record at Home | 7-8, 47% 106 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1, 75% 195 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-3, 25% -224 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-5, 38% -205 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% 384 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-13, 7% -1181 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -34 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Tyler Mahle Starts | 1-4, 20% -326 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 1-4, 20% -324 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-8, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-9, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Mahle STARTS | 6-1, 86% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 12-6, 67% +480 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-7, 56% +362 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 10-4, 71% +566 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-7, 53% +275
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 15-3, 83% +482 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-7, 56% -110 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 13-1, 93% +568 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-7, 53% -197
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-10, 41% -400 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-8, 43% -280 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-6, 57% + 140
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