April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins 4/15/2019

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The Minnesota Twins are 4-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 1-5 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Martin Perez has a 37% chance of a QS and Matt Shoemaker a 34% chance. If Martin Perez has a quality start the Twins has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 67%. If Matt Shoemaker has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 35%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Nelson Cruz who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Smoak who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 48% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-5, 17% -290Record at Home4-1, 80% 205Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-8, 27% -490vs Team Under .5002-0, 100% 142Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog1-5, 17% -290Record As Home Favorite3-0, 100% 187Minnesota Twins
When Matt Shoemaker Starts3-0, 100% 341When Martin Perez Starts0-0 No GamesToronto Blue Jays

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road33-48, 41% -790Record at Home49-32, 60% 1112Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins2-4, 33% -162VS Toronto Blue Jays4-2, 67% 199Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .50042-29, 59% 453vs Team Under .50049-37, 57% 113Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog21-35, 38% -498Record As Home Favorite33-20, 62% 225Minnesota Twins
When Matt Shoemaker Starts6-2, 75% 300When Martin Perez Starts4-11, 27% -555Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-3, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-29, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Matt Shoemaker STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 1-5, 17% -306 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-1, 80% +205 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 34-47, 42% -1361 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 47-34, 58% +1422

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-2, 67% +17 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-1, 80% +205 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 46-35, 57% -324 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 47-34, 58% +139

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 27-38, 42% -1480 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 33-43, 43% -1430

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