April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers 4/15/2019

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 5-2 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 4-4 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers\' starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Dakota Hudson. Freddy Peralta has a 28% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dakota Hudson has a 11% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 67%. In Dakota Hudson quality starts the Cardinals win 55%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% 1Record at Home5-2, 71% 212Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-3, 25% -196VS St. Louis Cardinals3-1, 75% 148Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better8-5, 62% 340vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% -5St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog3-3, 50% 17Record As Home Favorite5-2, 71% 212Milwaukee Brewers
When Dakota Hudson Starts1-1, 50% 18When Freddy Peralta Starts1-2, 33% -102St. Louis Cardinals

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road45-36, 56% 800Record at Home55-32, 63% 1292Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers8-11, 42% -393VS St. Louis Cardinals11-8, 58% 359Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better50-43, 54% 691vs Team .500 or Better55-50, 52% 858Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog18-22, 45% 68Record As Home Favorite39-18, 68% 845Milwaukee Brewers
When Dakota Hudson Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Freddy Peralta Starts8-5, 62% 145Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-2, 75% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-42, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dakota Hudson STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS2-1, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-3, 62% +80 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-2, 71% +235 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-45, 44% -1035 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 48-39, 55% +668

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-3, 62% +133 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-1, 86% +416 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 46-35, 57% +298 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 49-38, 56% -63

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 37-32, 54% + 180 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 35-43, 45% -1230

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