April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox 4/15/2019

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The Chicago White Sox are 0-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 0-3 on the road this season. The White Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. White Sox\' starter Ervin Santana is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Heath Fillmyer. Ervin Santana has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Heath Fillmyer has a 24% chance of a QS. If Ervin Santana has a quality start the White Sox has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 70%. In Heath Fillmyer quality starts the Royals win 66%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Yoan Moncada who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Whit Merrifield who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-3, 0% -300Record at Home0-5, 0% -500Kansas City Royals
VS Chicago White Sox2-1, 67% 74VS Kansas City Royals1-2, 33% -100Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 74vs Team Under .5003-3, 50% 167Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite0-1, 0% -100Chicago White Sox
When Heath Fillmyer Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Ervin Santana Starts0-1, 0% -100Kansas City Royals

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago White Sox

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-55, 32% -1451Record at Home30-51, 37% -1649Kansas City Royals
VS Chicago White Sox8-11, 42% -355VS Kansas City Royals11-8, 58% 289Chicago White Sox
vs Team Under .50040-48, 45% -335vs Team Under .50038-49, 44% -513Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog26-53, 33% -1251Record As Home Favorite9-13, 41% -552Chicago White Sox
When Heath Fillmyer Starts5-7, 42% 105When Ervin Santana Starts4-1, 80% 259Chicago White Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-41, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-39, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Heath Fillmyer STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Ervin Santana STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-3, 0% +32 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 3-2, 60% +53 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 34-47, 42% +12 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 40-41, 49% +209

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 1-2, 33% -128 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 5-0, 100% +380 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 55-26, 68% +605 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 56-25, 69% +1974

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 90 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 33-39, 46% -990 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 38-38, 50% -380

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