April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres 4/15/2019

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The San Diego Padres are 4-3 at home this season and the Colorado Rockies are 4-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Joey Lucchesi is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies\' starter Kyle Freeland. Joey Lucchesi has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 30% chance of a QS. If Joey Lucchesi has a quality start the Padres has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 59%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 59%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Wil Myers who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is David Dahl who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

Colorado RockiesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -353Record at Home4-3, 57% -14San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-7, 12% -579vs Team Under .5009-5, 64% 257San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -74Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesSan Diego Padres
When Kyle Freeland Starts1-3, 25% -223When Joey Lucchesi Starts2-1, 67% 33San Diego Padres

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies

Colorado RockiesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road45-40, 53% 1373Record at Home31-50, 38% -1745Colorado Rockies
VS San Diego Padres11-8, 58% 25VS Colorado Rockies8-11, 42% -32Colorado Rockies
vs Team Under .50043-28, 61% 740vs Team .500 or Better42-66, 39% -665Colorado Rockies
Record as Road Favorite13-11, 54% -1Record as Home Underdog19-37, 34% -1409Colorado Rockies
When Kyle Freeland Starts24-10, 71% 1413When Joey Lucchesi Starts11-16, 41% -345Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-8, 20% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-8, 20% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Joey Lucchesi STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-5, 55% -50 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-3, 57% +122 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 46-39, 54% +774 San Diego Padres Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1271

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-5, 55% -20 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-3, 57% -6 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 41-44, 48% -1057 San Diego Padres Home Games: 46-35, 57% -2

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 1-9, 10% -890 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 30-41, 42% -1510 San Diego Padres Home Games: 35-38, 48% -680

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