April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4/15/2019

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 6-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 0-4 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Clayton Kershaw is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Luis Castillo. Clayton Kershaw has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Castillo has a 31% chance of a QS. If Clayton Kershaw has a quality start the Dodgers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 71%. In Luis Castillo quality starts the Reds win 49%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 49% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Cody Bellinger who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Eugenio Suarez who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Cincinnati RedsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-4, 0% -400Record at Home6-3, 67% 2Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-9, 18% -691vs Team .500 or Better1-6, 14% -535Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog0-4, 0% -400Record As Home Favorite6-3, 67% 2Los Angeles Dodgers
When Luis Castillo Starts2-1, 67% 48When Clayton Kershaw Starts0-0 No GamesCincinnati Reds

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-51, 37% -912Record at Home50-40, 56% -1113Cincinnati Reds
VS Los Angeles Dodgers6-1, 86% 874VS Cincinnati Reds1-6, 14% -548Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better44-71, 38% -1193vs Team Under .50041-33, 55% -1038Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog28-46, 38% -575Record As Home Favorite49-40, 55% -1218Cincinnati Reds
When Luis Castillo Starts16-17, 48% 68When Clayton Kershaw Starts18-14, 56% -458Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-44, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-46, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Clayton Kershaw STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-0, 100% +488 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-4, 56% -126 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 40-41, 49% +625 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 48-42, 53% +1192

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-0, 100% +312 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-3, 67% +2 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 48-33, 59% -136 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 49-41, 54% -1258

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 2-2, 50% -20 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 33-37, 47% -770 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 37-42, 47% -920

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