April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins 4/15/2019

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The Chicago Cubs are 2-7 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 4-6 at home. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Trevor Richards has a 29% chance of a QS and Jon Lester a 30% chance. If Trevor Richards has a quality start the Marlins has a 60% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 42%. If Jon Lester has a quality start the Cubs has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 67%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Austin Dean who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 49% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ben Zobrist who averaged 2.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 75% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Chicago CubsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-7, 22% -519Record at Home4-6, 40% -35Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5000-0 No Gamesvs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -138Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -323Record as Home Underdog4-6, 40% -35Miami Marlins
When Jon Lester Starts2-1, 67% 58When Trevor Richards Starts1-2, 33% -17Chicago Cubs

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road44-37, 54% 47Record at Home38-43, 47% 631Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins5-2, 71% 64VS Chicago Cubs2-5, 29% -123Chicago Cubs
vs Team Under .50046-22, 68% 733vs Team .500 or Better34-62, 35% -882Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite31-23, 57% -59Record as Home Underdog35-41, 46% 579Miami Marlins
When Jon Lester Starts25-9, 74% 1023When Trevor Richards Starts10-15, 40% 136Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-1, 88% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-1, 88% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jon Lester STARTS3-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trevor Richards STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -147 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-4, 60% +5 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 41-40, 51% -276 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-42, 48% +202

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -147 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-4, 60% +5 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 46-35, 57% +429 Miami Marlins Home Games: 43-38, 53% -704

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 33-35, 49% -550 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-34, 53% + 160

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