April 15, 2019 7:26 AM CDT

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox 4/15/2019

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The Boston Red Sox are 3-2 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 4-5 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Hector Velazquez is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles\' starter Dan Straily. Hector Velazquez has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dan Straily has a 14% chance of a QS. If Hector Velazquez has a quality start the Red Sox has a 94% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 82%. In Dan Straily quality starts the Orioles win 59%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 3.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Trey Mancini who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 33% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-5, 44% 345Record at Home3-2, 60% -82Baltimore Orioles
VS Boston Red Sox1-2, 33% 14VS Baltimore Orioles2-1, 67% -31Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .5004-8, 33% 45vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% -203Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog4-5, 44% 345Record As Home Favorite3-2, 60% -82Baltimore Orioles
When Dan Straily Starts0-1, 0% -100When Hector Velazquez Starts1-0, 100% 79Boston Red Sox

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Baltimore OriolesRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-62, 23% -3175Record at Home61-26, 70% 1076Boston Red Sox
VS Boston Red Sox3-16, 16% -1054VS Baltimore Orioles16-3, 84% 565Boston Red Sox
vs Team .500 or Better26-67, 28% -2502vs Team Under .50067-21, 76% 1827Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog17-56, 23% -2732Record As Home Favorite58-24, 71% 899Boston Red Sox
When Dan Straily Starts10-13, 43% 83When Hector Velazquez Starts5-4, 56% -47Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore OriolesRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-4, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-1, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-37, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dan Straily STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Hector Velazquez STARTS0-1, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-3, 67% +405 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-2, 60% -82 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 41-40, 51% +282 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 44-43, 51% -114

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-4, 56% -194 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-2, 60% -82 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 61-20, 75% +1767 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 61-26, 70% +1071

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-0, 100% + 300 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 33-34, 49% -440 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 41-33, 55% + 470

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