The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-34 at home this season and the New York Mets are 43-38 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Freddy Peralta has a 30% chance of a QS and Luis Severino a 29% chance. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 51%. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Mets has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Luis Severino who averaged 3.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| New York Mets | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% 692 | Record at Home | 47-34, 58% 235 | New York Mets |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-5, 17% -430 | VS New York Mets | 5-1, 83% 402 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 49-50, 49% 154 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-43, 57% 1162 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-25, 50% 751 | Record As Home Favorite | 34-21, 62% 215 | New York Mets |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 14-18, 44% -667 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 20-14, 59% 200 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -145 | Record at Home | 7-9, 44% -354 | New York Mets |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-2, 33% -130 | VS New York Mets | 2-1, 67% 89 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -46 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-9, 47% -167 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-4, 33% -129 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-5, 44% -243 | New York Mets |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 2-4, 33% -240 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-1, 75% 149 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 40-37, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 37-33, 53% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-38, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-41, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 17-15, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 16-15, 52% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 37-44, 46% -1834 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 39-42, 48% -699 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-8, 38% -590 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-10, 38% -293
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 35-46, 43% -1940 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 51-30, 63% +901 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% -101 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-8, 50% -206
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 38-31, 55% + 390 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 27-34, 44% -1040 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-2, 78% + 480 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-8, 38% -380
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