The Baltimore Orioles are 45-36 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 41-40 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Corbin Burnes is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Cole Ragans. Corbin Burnes has a 70% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cole Ragans has a 58% chance of a QS. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Orioles has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.7 and he has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 60%. In Cole Ragans quality starts the Royals win 56%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 1.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 41-40, 51% -33 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% -446 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-4, 33% -130 | VS Kansas City Royals | 4-2, 67% 100 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 46-56, 45% -913 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-46, 51% -457 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-30, 44% -186 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-33, 53% -1053 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Cole Ragans Starts | 15-16, 48% -405 | When Corbin Burnes Starts | 18-12, 60% -169 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 90 | Record at Home | 5-7, 42% -446 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-10, 23% -620 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-7, 56% 12 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% -8 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-6, 45% -346 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Cole Ragans Starts | 2-2, 50% -67 | When Corbin Burnes Starts | 3-2, 60% -78 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 32-46, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 42-35, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cole Ragans STARTS | 10-20, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Corbin Burnes STARTS | 16-13, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 34-47, 42% -1559 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 37-44, 46% -1127 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -397 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-8, 33% -247
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 44-37, 54% -640 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 44-37, 54% -641 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +180 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-7, 42% -446
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 39-31, 56% + 490 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 32-44, 42% -1640 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580
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