The Houston Astros are 46-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 43-38 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Tarik Skubal. Framber Valdez has a 69% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tarik Skubal has a 59% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 62%. In Tarik Skubal quality starts the Tigers win 54%. He has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 1.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% 589 | Record at Home | 46-35, 57% -576 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Houston Astros | 2-4, 33% -201 | VS Detroit Tigers | 4-2, 67% 128 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 48-52, 48% -80 | vs Team .500 or Better | 42-45, 48% -768 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 27-28, 49% 427 | Record As Home Favorite | 42-30, 58% -530 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Tarik Skubal Starts | 21-10, 68% 532 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 20-10, 67% 291 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 480 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% -186 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-4, 56% 160 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -295 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-3, 70% 506 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% -86 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Tarik Skubal Starts | 3-2, 60% -17 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 3-1, 75% 76 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 39-39, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-3, 77% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-37, 57% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tarik Skubal STARTS | 17-14, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 10-19, 34% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 41-40, 51% +81 Houston Astros Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1164 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -55 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-8, 43% -256
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 46-35, 57% -198 Houston Astros Home Games: 47-34, 58% -422 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 3-9, 25% -745 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-6, 57% -186
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 27-47, 36% -2470 Houston Astros Home Games: 42-36, 54% + 240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-10, 23% -800
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