The San Diego Padres are 45-36 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 43-38 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Michael King is forecasted to have a better game than Braves starter Bryce Elder. Michael King has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryce Elder has a 17% chance of a QS. If Michael King has a quality start the Padres has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 68%. In Bryce Elder quality starts the Braves win 58%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Michael King who averaged 3.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Bryce Elder who averaged 2.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% -665 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% -361 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 3-4, 43% -211 | VS Atlanta Braves | 4-3, 57% 179 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 55-44, 56% -396 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-51, 52% 278 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-11, 42% -303 | Record As Home Favorite | 36-28, 56% -509 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Bryce Elder Starts | 5-4, 56% -63 | When Michael King Starts | 17-12, 59% 338 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% -125 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 22 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% -191 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-6, 57% 126 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-4, 64% -73 | San Diego Padres |
| When Bryce Elder Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Michael King Starts | 2-2, 50% -61 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-44, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 41-36, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-8, 27% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-35, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-45, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael King STARTS | 12-16, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 37-44, 46% -1038 San Diego Padres Home Games: 39-42, 48% -567 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-4, 56% +282 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-5, 58% +19
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 48-33, 59% +348 San Diego Padres Home Games: 43-38, 53% -668 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-3, 67% +100 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-5, 58% -173
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 32-40, 44% -1200 San Diego Padres Home Games: 39-32, 55% + 380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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