• NFL Thursday Night: Seahawks at Cardinals - Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: TNF Analyst Pick

    Seattle will look to get back on track on a quick turnaround in Week 10 as they head to Arizona for a matchup with a Cardinals team that's been below average to put it nicely. Seattle has a history of strong performances when the spotlight is on them, 6-0 straight up (SU) and 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last six prime-time games.

    Vegas Odds
    Seattle opened at 6.5-point favorites before dropping a half-point over Tuesday and Wednesday.

    Betting Line: Seattle Seahawks -6
    Total: 46

    At the time of publication, about 58-to-60 percent of the public was laying the points and taking the Seahawks. 54 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

    Betting Trends
    - Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last six games vs Arizona.
    - Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last five games vs Arizona.

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    What to Watch For

    Arizona's seen some success handing RB Adrian Peterson the ball. They lost 20-10 to San Francisco, but Peterson did have 159 yards on 37 rushing attempts.

    Peterson is projected to finish with 79 yards on 14 carries; he averages 0.4 TDs per sim.

    In the loss against Washington last week, Seattle QB Russell Wilson finished with 297 yards, 2 TDs and 77 rushing yards, but also threw two INTs. The Seahawks have their eye on the NFC West title and will look to make a statement Thursday night.

    Wilson is projected to finish with 270 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, to go along with 17 rushing yards on 4-to-5 carries.

    Here's a not-so-fun fact for Arizona fans -- the Cardinals are 0-4 SU and ATS against teams at-or-above .500.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL Thursday: Ravens vs Dolphins Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Ravens vs Dolphins: TNF Analyst Pick

    This week's episode of Thursday Night Football features a pair of teams looking to get a win and get back in the playoff hunt. The Baltimore Ravens host the Miami Dolphins having won seven of the last eight meetings between the two sides.

    Vegas Odds

    The total has stayed consistent at 48.5 since the line opened, but the spread has dropped from -6 to -4.5 for Philly.

    Betting Line: Baltimore Ravens -3
    Total: 37

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    - All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 57-41-7 58.9% +1,190
    - All Side Value Picks: 58-44 +2527
    - All Totals Picks: 52-42-6 +1080
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    Betting Trends

    • The Dolphins are 1-6 straight up (SU) in their last seven games against the Ravens.
    • The Dolphins are 0-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against the Ravens.
    • The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games at night.
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Ravens' last five games

    What to Watch For

    For the Dolphins, their best chance at staying competitive in this matchup is with their defense. They're giving up just 82 yards per game on the ground, good for No. 6 in the league. The Baltimore offensive line is banged up and we should see the Miami pressuring the QB early and often.

    The Dolphins' defense average 1.3 forced turnovers per simulated matchup, with a much higher chance of an INT than a forced fumble.

    Matt Moore threw a pair of TDs in the Dolphins' 31-28 win over New York last week. Moore was above-average last season when stepping in for QB Ryan Tannehill, finishing with a TD:INT ratio of 8:3 in three games.

    Moore is projected to finish Thursday night's matchup with 246 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL TNF Analyst Pick: Eagles at Panthers - Week 6

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NFL Thursday - Panthers vs Eagles

    Thursday night NFL action in this week's slate features a pair of 4-1 teams looking to keep momentum trending the right way. The Panthers are slight 3-to-3.5-point favorites, getting the nod as the home side in what's projected as a tight matchup.

    Date/Time: Thursday, 10/12 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
    Spread: Panthers -3.5
    Total: 45.5

    Vegas Odds
    There really hasn't been a whole lot of movement on the line, Vegas and the public expecting a close matchup Thursday night.

    The line opened at -3 for Carolina, moving up just a half-point in some books across Vegas. Same for the total, up a half-point to 45.5.

    Betting Trends
    • The Eagles are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games.
    • The Eagles are 6-1 straight up (SU) in their last seven games.
    • The Eagles 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
    • The total has gone OVER seven of the Eagles' last 10 games.
    • The Panthers are 1-3-2 in their last six games at home.

    Top AccuScore Trends: After Week 5
    - All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 43-30-4, 58.9% +1,000
    - All Side Value Picks: 44-31, 58.7% +1800
    - All Totals Picks: 44-29-4, 60.3% +1210
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    All of AccuScore's Week 6 NFL Picks

    What to Watch For
    Trouble on the O-line: As John Breech of CBS Sports first pointed out, the absence of offensive lineman Lane Johnson has the potential to be a huge game changer this week; Johnson suffered a concussion in Sunday's game against the Arizona Cardinals and is projected to be out Thursday night on a short week.

    Why's that such a big deal? Johnson has been in the lineup for 11 of Wentz's 21 career starts.

    In those 11 games, Wentz has a 9-2 record, 65.7 completion percentage, 2,766 yards, 20 TDs, 5 INTs, and a 99.9 passer rating.

    He went 2-8 in the games without Johnson, looking like a completely different product on the field. In those 10 games, he went 2-8 and threw twice as many INTs (12) as TDs (6).

    Wentz is projected to finish Thursday's game with 261 yards, averaging 1.3 TDs to 0.8 INTs in sims.

    Ground Game: Philly's run defense has actually been solid this year -- containing the likes of Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt so far this season. The Eagles gave up some late yardage on the ground to the Chiefs and Chargers, but for the most part have been consistently above average in that category.

    The Panthers are projected to finish with at least 1 rushing TD.

    Analyst's Pick
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