2017 Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue

It may not be one of the more talked-about bowl games, but Wednesday's matchup between Arizona and Purdue at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA just might end up being one of the most exciting games of the season. Fans should be treated to some high octane offenses as all eyes will be on Arizona QB Khalil Tate and a team led by offensive genius Jeff Brohm.

Let's take a closer look at this matchup and how to bet the game.

All of AccuScore's College Football picks
Our computer has simulated every Bowl game 10,000 times based on trends, team and player statistics: College Football Bowl Picks

Vegas Odds
Arizona opened as a 3.5-point favorite before settling in a half-point lower in most books. The total dropped just a point since opening at 66.5.

Betting Line: Arizona -3
Total: 65.5

At the time of publication, 52 percent of the public were taking the points and picking Purdue.

62 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
• Purdue is just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six bowl games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Arizona's last six games.

What to Watch For
Arizona's QB is a Beast: Despite missing close to four weeks at the beginning of the season, Tate still finished the regular season having thrown for 1,289 passing yards, rushed for 1,353 yards and scored 21 total touchdowns. He does have the tendency to turn the ball over, but that doesn't seem to be an issue in our sims for this bowl matchup.

Tate is projected to finish with 233 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, and 1 INT. The Purdue defense is projected to force 1 takeaway, but average zero QB sacks.

Purdue's Turnaround: A big reason the team went from a 3-6 finish in 2016 to making a bowl game in 2017 was how the defense played this year. The Boilermakers defense ranks 28th nationally in S&P+, and its run defense stands is remarkable at No. 6 in the country. They'll have their hands full against Tate.

Tate is projected to finish with 113 rushing yards and 1 TD on the ground.

Analyst's Pick
Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

*use code Bowl30 for 30% off membership - Limited time special

NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2018 - East Region

Written by AccuScore Staff
Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

2018 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: East Region

Villanova is not considered the overall no. 1 seed, but it seems to be the consensus candidate to win the Eastern bracket, only AccuScore's computer doesn't think it's a given. Nova has a particularly easy route to the Sweet 16, with only Virginia having better odds to make it past the first four days of madness. Based on AccuScore's simulations, Villanova has a 28.28% chance of reaching the Final Four and an 8.47% chance of winning the National Championship, which are the best odds of any team in the East bracket. Only, Purdue is on Villanova's heels with a 27.89% chance to reach the Final Four and an 8.48% chance of winning it all. Wichita State's odds of making the Final Four are 21.54%, so there is a clear drop off from Purdue and Villanova.

Simulate your own bracket by clicking on the image below

AccuScore has expert picks against the spread and totals for every single tournament game: College Basketball Picks

Not a member, use code NCAAm and get 25% off an All Sports monthly or annual membership for a limited time (Free trial for first time members with monthly membership): Join AccuScore Today!

AccuScore projects Villanova to cruise past Redford and Virginia Tech before putting down the Shockers in the Sweet 16. Likewise, Purdue is expected to demolish Cal State Fullerton before handily beating Arkansas. The game against Texas Tech is a bit trickier, but the East looks like it will come down to a Villanova vs Purdue showdown in the Elite 8. That's a close game, and even though Villanova has better odds to win the tournament, the computer likes Purdue to pull the upset and advance as a no. 2 seed out of the East. Again, this is a close game and both teams are capable of winning it all if they can get by each other. Only one will advance out of the East, and in this case, AccuScore is picking Purdue on the head-to-head.

Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
South Region
MidWest Region
West Region