• 2018 NHL Playoffs Projections

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    2018 NHL Playoffs Projections & Analysis

    At the start of the season, AccuScore predicted 8 teams in each conferences would reach the playoffs, so let’s take a look how season has progressed so far and AccuScore's projections of the final stretch of the regular season.

    When comparing the Eastern Conference predictions to current standings, six teams predicted to reach playoffs are currently within the top 8: Tampa Bay, Toronto, Pittsburgh, Washington, Philadelphia and Columbus. With a strong start to the season, New Jersey surprised the projections. Even though they are currently sitting on the edge, it looks like they will make the playoffs this year.

    Boston has discovered the form it had a few years ago. The Bruins are cruising to the playoffs and are prepared for a long run in the playoffs. These two teams were not projected to make the playoffs at the beginning of the season, but right now, the season simulations show them as being Stanley Cup Finals contenders.

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    In the Western Conference, the season has been a bit more unpredictable with high flying teams from a year ago like the Edmonton Oilers and Chicago Blackhawks are currently on the wrong side of the playoffs line. In the predictions before the season five out of eight teams predicted to reach playoffs are currently going to the postseason: Nashville, Winnipeg, San Jose, Anaheim and Dallas.

    All of today's NHL picks: NHL picks

    Los Angeles and Minnesota are current playoffs teams, which isn't a shock to the system because they were both predicted to be in the playoffs battle before the season. However, the Las Vegas Golden Knights have played beyond any expectations. They are almost sure winners of their division and with the way they have played this season, success during the postseason is not out of the question.

    Season simulations show that all 8 teams currently in line for the postseason will continue to the playoffs. The toughest competition will be between the Los Angeles Kings (65% probability to reach playoffs) and the Colorado Avalanche (38% probability to reach playoffs). More detailed article about the playoffs probabilities can be found here.

  • Accuscore Expert Analyst Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators

    NHL on Wednesday: Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators

    In the Eastern Conference lopsided matchup the Senators host Lightning in Ottawa. The Sens are at the bottom of the conference right above dead last Buffalo, while Tampa Bay is going strong at the top of the East.

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    Last season’s conference finalists are in deep crisis. The owner has stated they’re likely to cut salaries by more than 10M$, which means everyone is for sale. Things are not that much better on the ice. Only 51 points in 58 games means the Senators are effectively out of the playoffs already, adding to the pressure of cutting costs. They’ve only won two games in regulation from the past 15. However, at home they’ve been remarkably better, winning five straight – albeit three in overtime or shootout. When the season is practically over for the Senators, it remains to be seen how much fight they still have in them in this dire situation.

    Accuscore’s record in picking Tampa Bay games on the road is 20-13 with a profit of +406 for the season and picking Tampa Bay games against teams under .500 is 18-8 with a profit of +343.

    Conference leading Tampa Bay have had their problems after almost invincible beginning to the season, but they’ve managed to put up a decent sequence in the past 10 games, with six wins and four losses. Their bad stretch included five losses in seven games. While Lightning still doesn’t look as good as they did to start the season, they’ve managed to score aplenty and lead the conference in goals scored.

    Lightning has scored a hefty 3.58 goals per game overall and 3.45 on the road. Senators have allowed 3.52 overall and 3.5 at home. Tampa Bay’s defense has been decent on the road, allowing 2.66 while Ottawa’s offense has been abysmal at home, only scoring 2.25 goals on average. The visitors have a huge edge in quality of roster and Ottawa is also playing the second game of back-to-backs after featuring in Chicago tonight. Returning home after road trip is never easy and Tampa Bay are huge favorites in this one.

    Accuscore’s simulations

    In Accuscore simulations Tampa Bay wins 60.5% of the games. The hosts remain at 39.5%. There’s good value in picking Tampa Bay while the odds are still somewhat under the 60%. The best value is found in 3-way though, with Tampa Bay 52% favorites to win it in regulation and the odds offer in the region of 48%.

    The game is rather high-scoring in simulations, with an average of 6.5 goals scored. The hosts manage to put 3.0 past Andrey Vasilevskiy, led by Erik Karlsson, Mark Stone and Mike Hoffman. The visitors however do one better and score on average 3.5 goals past Craig Anderson. Lightning’s most likely scorers feature Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos and this season’s breakthrough player Yanni Gourde.

    Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov scores a goal with 41.7% likelihood and at least one point with 68.7% probability. Ottawa’s Mark Stone is the most likely goal scorer for his team with 31% and Erik Karlsson is the most likely to pick up at least one point with 53% probability.

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    Analyst Picks

    Can’t look past the Lightning here as Ottawa is in all kinds of trouble on and off the ice. The offense of the visitors is overwhelming compared to the hosting defense, so it’s likely to be a goals galore as well.

    • There’s excellent value in Tampa Bay ML win, which should be taken with odds of -153 | 1.65
    • 3-way bet for Tampa Bayworks even better with odds better than -104 | 1.96
    • The total goes over 5.5 in 60.3 % of the simulations, so take the over with odds of -151 | 1.66
  • Accuscore’s NHL 2018/2019 Season Preview and Predictions

    The winter is coming and so is the brand new NHL season. We’re looking at another 1271 regular season games, starting from tonight and lasting until early April 2019. There’s been some major movements in the league, but the strong teams are still strong and the weak are still weak – or are they?

    The summer was riddled with big name transactions, as John Tavares finally quit New York and headed back home to Toronto. Ottawa’s turmoil continued as arguably the best defender in the league, Erik Karlsson has left the Canadian capital for what can only be described as a ridiculous return from San Jose Sharks.

    Last season finally saw Alexander Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals hoist the Stanley Cup – and it’s been a summer of celebration for the Caps fans and players alike, as we’ve witnessed through various channels over the internet. Will the Capitals recover from the hangover to challenge once again?

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    With the training camps over and rosters set for the opening night, Accuscore’s supercomputer has worked its magic once again and pre-determined the outcome of the NHL regular season 2018/2019 by simulating each and every game for 10 000 times.

    This is how the regular season standings are most likely to look after it’s all done and dusted on April 6th 2019:

    Accuscore NHL 2018/2019 Season Forecast

    Accuscore’s Regular Season Outright Total Picks

    In the Western Conference there’re not a lot of surprises. According to the simulations, both Winnipeg Jets and Calgary Flames manage to gather three more wins than the Vegas line would suggest. The line is rather high for the Jets at 106.5, but considering they already posted 114 points last season, it’s worth a shot. Flames on the other hand missed playoffs last season with a meager 84 points, but they’re a stronger group this time around and likely to make the playoffs. The line of 93.5 means that if they’re in the battle for the playoffs, it should be a piece of cake.

    The other end of the table sees Colorado Avalanche collapsing again far out of the playoff position. There are several question marks over the team, especially depth-wise but their young core might also surprise. Even if Accuscore’s numbers indicate they only reach 79 points, the line of 90.5 is a tad too low to go for the under – in case they are able to hang in for the playoff battle, there could be some moves to further enhance their chances.

    In the Eastern Conference the top looks very familiar and the bottom is quite as expected as well. Tampa Bay ended up with 113 points last season, and they’re not any less convincing this time around. Gathering more points than last season from their weakened Eastern Conference bottom feeders should not be a problem and the line of 107.5 points seems reachable. At the other end of the queue, there’s New Jersey Devils who are in a somewhat problematic rebuilding phase. Superstar Tayler Hall is likely to win a couple of games for his team, but otherwise the young core is unlikely to be able to push for playoffs and the line of 91.5 is a tad high. To add insult to injury, no.1 goalkeeper Cory Schneider is out for indefinite amount of time to start the season. Sorry Devils, this is not your season yet.

    Western Conference Picks

    Winnipeg Jets 106.5 points: OVER

    Calgary Flames 93.5 points: OVER

     

    Eastern Conference Picks

    Tampa Bay Lightning 107.5 points: OVER

    New Jersey Devils 91.5 points: UNDER


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  • Hot Trends - NHL & NBA Playoffs, Baseball's Hot Week

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Hot Trends - NHL & NBA Playoffs

    Cashing in with NHL playoffs

    The hockey season is approaching its pinnacle point--the Stanley Cup finals. But first, we need to figure out which teams are going to proceed to the finals. With the first round all but over, let’s look back how accurate Accuscore predictions have been at the start of the NHL playoffs.

    When betting outright winners in moneyline markets, 100 dollars in 42 games played so far have converted to 900 profit so far. Any bettor would take that. Another 400 dollar profit has been recorded by betting the same games on side value bets.

    In Europe, hockey leagues are in final stages. During the regular season and also in playoffs, the best profits have been recorded from totals betting. KHL provided a playoff profit of 500, while Liiga in Finland scored profits of 210 during the playoffs. Many of these players will head to ice hockey World Championship starting next week. Accuscore simulates every game from this tournament, as well. As a reminder, AccuScore recorded profits of 870 and 190 dollars from side value and totals betting, respectively, in the 2017 World Championships.

    All of Today's NHL Picks: NBA playoffs picks

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    NBA Playoffs - Early Returns

    NBA playoffs are in full speed as well. Golden State and Philadelphia proceeding to the second round were not surprises, but the New Orleans Pelicans 4-0 swept over Portland wasn’t included into most predictions.

    So far, the best betting results based on Accuscore predictions have been seen in side value betting. Even though some favorites have been struggling, we have been able to secure 91 dollars profit in playoffs. This is expected to be increasing, because simulations will catch up hot teams better during second round of playoffs.

    All of Today's NBA Picks: NBA playoffs picks

    Baseball Trends - Fire Week

    Baseball season has been struggled with cold weather in many places since start of the season. However, bettors who have followed Accuscore moneyline bets have been hot during the last week. With 100 bet for every MLB game during the last seven days, 1414 dollars profit have been recorded. That would keep you warm for a while. One nugget from totals betting is the trend of Washington Nationals playing on the road. Accuscore has predicted 10/11 correct of these game totals.

    All of Today's MLB Picks: Baseball Picks

  • NBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer: Cold Weather, Hot Trends

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Cold Weather - Hot Profits For AccuScore

    The Major League Baseball season started few weeks ago, and the Boston Red Sox have been red hot with only two losses in 11 games, but how hot have Accuscore's baseball picks been during the first few weeks of the season? Notably, games when the home team favorite had over -130 odds have been profitable when simply betting moneyline as well as side value. You would receive profit of 282 and 439 dollars, respectively, when betting 100 for every game.

    Note: Be sure to check out AccuScore's Guide to Baseball

    While baseball season is just taking its first steps of the season, the NHL is into its postseason. After 1270 regular season games, Accuscore's NHL Picks generated overall profit with side value and moneyline bets. By betting 100 dollars for every game the profit of 495 from moneyline markets and 392 from side value bets may not seem staggering, but an overall profit entering the playoffs is always a positive sign for the playoffs. In addition, season totals bets also generated profits.

    Another league that changes gears to the postseason mood is the NBA. AccuScore's NBA Side value bets generated a profit of 1,363 when every game was bet by 100 units. Also, totals wagers generated profit during this regular season. A decent 390 profit out of all games when betting total based on Accuscore predictions is always good in your pocket.

    With a full season of data to fuel the projections and both sports profitable, NBA and NHL playoffs look set for a strong postseason, and NBA playoffs picks should be updated regularly.

    Soccer leagues in Europe don’t have playoffs in the traditional sense, even though the seasons are winding down across the continent. We have been very happy with the accuracy of our predictions since start of the season in August. The total profit of $32k with 100 dollars per every game in totals and 20% side value is something that anyone would welcome.

    During the last month, Serie A Picks continue to be the best performing league predictions in Europe. This time, the profit count during the last month is 1,078 when all side value bets and totals bets from every Serie A games were summed up. Overall, the accuracy of Serie A game predictions has been very good as the season totals shows over $10k profit for all of totals and 20% side value bets.

    Finally, AccuScore has predicted every Champions League game since group stage was completed. In these 24 games, few great side values in Manchester City losses against Basel and Liverpool have built up a great profit. By betting 100 dollars in every game’s side value, the profit number currently stands at 3150 dollars! Total bets from these same games have added another 328 dollars to the same profit column. With only five matches remaining in the Champions League, we're looking for these profits to continue to grow through the semifinals and final.

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  • NFL Picks Review, NBA & NHL Top Trends

    Written by AccuScore
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    Trends: Another Profitable NFL Season, NHL & NBA on Fire

    Super Bowl ended with a surprise, as the underdog Philadelphia Eagles upset the New England Patriots. Accuscore simulations still got the totals correct in this game, but the high flying Eagles outperformed projections.

    Even though the playoffs were full of surprises, the NFL season 2017-2018 was another profitable run when looking back at bets placed in 267 games since opening kickoff. With 100 units as the bet size, the total profit from point spread, totals, moneyline and side value bets was +1786 units. This is 8th winning season since 2009, with only the 2013 season dipping below the profitability line. By following Accuscore predictions since 2009, you would have pocketed over 22k in pure profit by betting blindly on every game...you’re welcome!

    NBA Picks Performance & Trends

    But the world does not stop when NFL season ends. NBA and NHL are the other major professional leagues ongoing. Accuscore predicts every game in both of these leagues - with good results.

    Since start of the NBA season, side value and total bets have been notably accurate. The profit of +3360 from side value and +1590 from total bets have kept our customers sending thank you e-mails week after week. The last week of NBA picks has been especially strong:
    • Point Spread - 830 profit
    • Totals - 190 profit
    • Side Value - 693 profit
    • Moneyline - 76 profit

    There are game live right now! AccuScore's NBA Picks

    As a reminder, side value bets during last season produced over 10k profit in the NBA. We are currently behind that blistering pace, but the NBA should hopefully continue to provide profits as the season progresses, and +3360 is nothing to complain about.

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    NHL Picks Record and Top Trends

    In the NHL, the best performing markets for our members this season have been Side Value and Moneyline bets. Side value bets have produced +1847 profit for the players who have followed Accuscore predictions and +2017 profit for the bettors placing money line bets for every NHL game since start of the season.

    Game predictions during last three days have been especially accurate in NHL. The total profit of +1372 units from totals, side value and moneyline bets has helped warm the hands of our members.

    Today's Hockey Picks...AccuScore's NHL Picks

    For the ice hockey fans it is good to highlight that by far the best betting results this season have been total markets in Liiga - the top level ice hockey league in Finland. Since the start of the season in September, Accuscore customers who have placed their bets per predictions have recorder profit of +12,220 dollars! This is tough to beat in other ice hockey leagues.

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  • NHL Free Agency 2017: Winners & Losers

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    NHL Free Agency 2017

    NHL free agency is not match with a free spending in NBA, but there has been interesting developments with trades, expansion draft, entry draft, re-signs and free agent signings during last few weeks. Accuscore uses its own player analytics to evaluate winners and losers since start of June. As this advanced player analytics cover only NHL players, we don’t take into consideration entry draft impacts.

    Las Vegas Golden Knights starts first season in NHL. As there is no historical record of the team, we have excluded them from this analysis. However, all players that have departed from other teams during expansion draft, impact in their last season teams.

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    Winners

    The table below shows top teams that have improved most during last weeks. This includes also their current players that they have re-signed during this period.

    NHL Free Agency winners

    As goalies are the most important single players in every team, those changes are clearly part of many top teams transactions. Anaheim signed one of the top goaltenders, Ryan Miller that is greatly improving their position when looking purely numbers. Re-signatures of Patrick Eaves and Cam Fowler are other remarkable transactions to raise Ducks to top of our list.

    Montreal made one move that reflects here above anything else. Carey Price extended his stay in Montreal with 8-years contract. Without this, Montreal’s combined rating would be -1.78 and considered not so great result of first days of free agency.

    Carolina and San Jose are on the list mainly due to many core players’ new contracts. Carolina added Justin Williams and Trevor van Riemsdyk which will improve team at least for the next season. San Jose couldn’t keep Patrick Marleau, but all other key members stay with the team.

    Dallas has been splashing over 11 millions of the next season’s cap hit to jumpstart the offense that was not able to keep up with the pace year ago. Alexander Radulov and Martin Hanzal would provide needed boost for Stars. Dallas is basically improved most when we concentrate only on free agent signings.

    Winnipeg and Tampa Bay are in top10 only due to contracts of goalies - Steven Mason and Peter Budaj respectively. Without those additions, that many don’t consider great goalies, these teams combined rating would hover around zero.

    Toronto has done reasonably good job since end of the season. They have acquired players that are all above “threshold” player. This “threshold” player is generally player that can be signed from free agent pool during the season. Sounds trivial that you would sign better players during off-season, but that hasn’t happen for many teams.

    Another team that has done good job is New Jersey. With the re-signed goalie Keith Kincaid and recent trade of Marcus Johansson, they can expect much better result from the upcoming season than we have seen during last season when Devils have been in the basement of their division.

    Losers

    As the free agency is at the end more or less zero sum game, there must be some teams that have not improved, but regressed when we are looking for advanced player analytics from the last season.

    NHL Free Agency Losers

    Minnesota is doing partial house cleaning after quick exit from the playoffs first round. Even though they recorded best regular season results in franchise’s history, there are notable core players that have been traded or let to go during last weeks. Moreover, the nucleus of the team is still in place and the expectation is that this team will fight in the playoffs during upcoming season as well.

    Florida’ season was a disappointment already in regular season. The biggest setback for them is the departure of young center Jonathan Marchessault who was their best player (except goalies) during the last season according to Accuscore’s advanced player analytics. Thomas Vanek and Jaromir Jagr will be missed from Panthers offense in the next season as well.

    In Chicago there has been some departures of relatively good players, but only the return of Brandon Saad from Columbus can be considered as an improvement. As Chicago has been Stanley Cup contender year after year, this small regression during last weeks won’t have big impact to the next season’s target. That would be bringing Stanley Cup back to the windy city.

    Arizona’s number is impacted by the departure of the goalie Mike Smith. They have added only one player that can be consider below “threshold” player and by that they actually have improved their team. It would be interesting to see how well one of the best backup goalie Antti Raanta will do in the desert.

    Columbus added russian magician Artemi Panarin from Chicago, but that won’t cover all departed core offensive players. Saad, Hartnell and Gagner will be missed in Columbus. Especially if team is not repeating the great run of the dark months of the regular season like they did this year.

    Nashville and Pittsburgh seem to have normal traffic of the team that has been fighting in Stanley Cup finals. Both teams lost good players in expansion draft, but returning to finals next season won’t be any surprise for these teams.

    Colorado has been quiet during free agency. That is a bit surprise for a team that won only 22 games during last season and hasn’t won playoffs series in 10 years. Signing Nail Yakupov is not answer for the future. As the free agency continues, some teams may improve their positions before the start of the season. Also development of the young players and top draft picks will influence on teams that are relying more on junior scouting and drafting than improving the team through free agency.

  • NHL, Premier League & La Liga Picks HIGHLY Profitable Entering 2018

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Top Trends: NHL and Soccer Sliding into 2018

    As the NFL regular season is winding down, Accuscore is posting another profitable season. Before Week 17 games kickoff, TOTALS bets are +1900 profit when betting 100 for every game. Point Spread has also been profitable this season as our predictions have brought 360 good into your pocket. Next, Week 17 and, more importantly, the playoffs come around to incorporate a full season of player and team data, trends and statistics.

    This week, we will concentrate on highly profitable NHL and soccer trends.

    After some rule changes to the sport, the NHL simulations weren’t performing up to standard. So, we overhauled the algorithm and brought in more hockey experts obsessed with the sport. These guys spend watching hockey than talking to their families, which seems like a problem for them, but we’ll gladly reap the rewards. So far, the updates have worked.

    Last season, AccuScore’s NHL picks provided over +2,000 profit for every bettor who wagered the standard 100 units for all of our NHL picks. Already, this season has matched the results of a season ago.

    So far, all side value bets have generated a profit of over 700 since the start of the NHL season. Over that same time, all money line bets when you are betting just the winner based on our favorite predictions have also been over 600 on profit. Admittedly, Totals haven’t been so good so far, but we’re expecting a quick turn around and positive returns for the remainder of the season.

    Side Value NHL Team Trends
    -The Los Angeles Kings in Staples Center: +600 profit in 18 games.
    -Washington Capitals on the road: +671 profit

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    Premier League Betting Trends

    Soccer Continues to Pay Off...BIG

    During the last few years, Accuscore has expanded its soccer coverage to cover over 10 leagues round the world. Currently, we cover the top 5 leagues in the United Kingdom, another 5 leagues in continental Europe + MLS & Liga MX in North-America. Since August 2014, soccer predictions have resulted in a steady stream of profit. By the end of the last season in June 2017, the total profit from side value and totals bets from all of AccuScore soccer picks is 78,000 units!

    This season has continued these astounding returns. Our customers that have followed our predictions from all leagues, have pocketed over +22,600 pure profit since start of this European season, including all MLS and Liga MX games from the beginning of August. This is the best performing sport year after year, since we expanded and fine-tuned our soccer simulations.

    During the current season, the best performing leagues have been the Premier League and Spain’s La Liga with roughly +5,000 profit in side value and totals bets. When reviewing the last few months, La Liga picks have put +2,500 profit in your pocket with 100 units wagered for all side value and totals picks.

    One interesting change when comparing the results from last year is that instead of betting every side value game that we have done in the past, the better results have been achieved by betting only games with over 20% side value. This has increased profit especially in Serie A, La Liga and League Two in UK. Overall by betting all games with 20% side value and all totals games, the bottom line is over +26,800 profit! Our annual membership of $349 is paid back about 70 times so far only by betting soccer games!

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  • Olympics Hockey Profitable, Top NHL & College Basketball Trends

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Olympic Hockey Review + NHL & College Basketball Top Trends

    Germany was a minute away from the biggest surprise of Olympics ice hockey tournament history. Their unbelievable run for a gold was denied by Olympic athletes from Russia in the last minute of the game and an eventual 4-3 overtime defeat for Germany.

    Even though there were many surprises and Germany busted brackets by reaching the final of the tournament, Accuscore predictions provided our members with hefty profits during the games. Side value bets, especially, were right on a money since start of the tournament. Members who bet 100 dollars for every game's side value picks in Olympics ice hockey tournament cashed +1555 dollars in pure profit. This wasn't amateur hour for out members.

    This time, NHL players didn’t participate in the Olympics. They continued their regular season schedule last two weeks as planned. And so, AccuScore members benefited from accurate hockey predictions and NHL predictions simultaneously.

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    Since start of the season, accurate Accuscore predictions have provided 829 dollars profit, if total, side value and money line bets have been placed for every game. Like in Olympics, NHL side value bets have been especially profitable and returned profits of 2286 dollars since start of the season. Total bets haven’t been as profitable as side value predictions in NHL, but in Finnish ice hockey Liiga, total bets have been a real bank. So far, 6540 profit form the Liiga games speaks for itself...if you didn't know already, AccuScore takes hockey seriously.

    All of today's NHL picks: NHL picks
    All of today's Liiga Picks:LIIGA picks

    College Basketball Top Trends

    March madness is just around the corner. Like the name says, it is complete madness when trying to predict all games correct in the final tournament. Before the madness, we can highlight some best betting results from the games of individual teams:

    Charlotte has won only five games so far, but that's in line with our computer's thoughts. Actually, if you had placed a side value bet based on our predictions in every Charlotte game, you have over +1500 profit only from those games. So, while Charlotte won't be making the tourney, there's still time to cash in on their season.

    NCAA basketball Totals have been especially strong with UNLV and number 4 ranked Villanova. By betting totals in every game for these teams, 1340 and 1140 dollars profit, respectively, would be sitting in your wallet. Predictions for another highly ranked team, Michigan State, have been accurate as well. Side value bets for the Spartans have recorded over 900 profits since start of the season. Now we are preparing for the perfect bracket - stay tuned.

    All of today's College Basketball Picks:NCAA Mens Basketball Picks