• Dolphins vs Patriots: NFL Monday Analyst Preview & Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Dolphins vs Patriots: Monday Night Football Analyst Preview

    Monday Night Football action this week takes us to Miami as the 5-7 Dolphins host the 10-2 New England Patriots in a matchup that has the road team as heavy 11-point favorites. Miami did get a 35-9 victory over Denver, and QB Jay Cutler will look to use that momentum against a New England franchise he has never beaten.

    Vegas Odds
    The spread has held constant since opening, but the total dropped about 1-1.5 points since opening at 48.5.

    Betting Line: New England Patriots -11
    Total: 47.5

    At the time of publication, close to 64 percent of the public were laying the points and taking the Pats.

    58-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

    Betting Trends
    - The Patriots are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
    - The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
    - The total has gone UNDER in six of the Patriots’ last eight games as the favorite.

    What to Watch For
    Cutler vs New England: In his three career matchups against the Patriots, Cutler has lost by 34, 29, and 29 points, respectively.

    Cutler is projected to finish with 226 points, 1 TD and 1 INT.

    Tom Brady Good-to-Go: Despite reports earlier in the week, Brady (Achilles) will not carry an injury designation into MNF -- according to Doug Kyed of NESN.com. He didn't practice Saturday, but received treatment instead and looks to be good-to-go for Monday.

    Brady is projected to finish with 243 yards and 2+ TDs.

    Silver Lining: One of the bright spots for Miami lately has been RB Kenyan Drake. Drake had a convincing 120-yard performance in Miami's win over Denver, and will need to have another big-time performance if Miami is going to cover and keep it close.

    Drake is projected to finish with 67 yards on 14 carries. He does average 0.5 TDs per sim, so expect him to find the end-zone once on Monday.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • LA Chargers Vs. Denver Broncos: Week 11 NFL Analyst Picks

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    LA Chargers vs Denver Broncos: NFL Week 11 Analyst Picks

    We've got an AFC West showdown this weekend as the LA Chargers get set to host the Denver Broncos at StubHub Center in Carson, CA.

    Let's take a closer look at where's the value at in this game.

    Vegas Odds
    Spread
    Los Angeles Chargers -7

    Total
    46

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    • 2018 Totals Picks (After Week 10): 82-58-8, 58.6% +1820
    2018 Spread and Totals Picks (Every game): +3850
    All NFL Week 11 Expert Picks

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    What to Watch For

    Movement: The Chargers opened up as 7-point favorites and there has been very little movement on the spread so far this week. One book had it drop to 6 and 6.5 for a day, but most books have it at -7 for the Chargers at the time of publication.

    Public Betting:At the time of publication, the Chargers are getting 74% of bets; some heavy money has to have come in on Denver, though, to keep the spread at 7.

    ATS Betting Trend: The Chargers head into this week's matchup on a 6-game win streak. Rivers -- since 2003 -- is 21-15 against the spread (ATS) after a win the previous week out. According to Action Network, this makes Rivers the second-most profitable QB in the league after a win.

    Betting on the Total: The last five meetings between these two sides have hit the UNDER when playing in San Diego and Los Angeles. The UNDER is also 5-2-1 in Denver's last eight overall.

    AccuScore sims, however, are going against recent trends, suggesting a pick on the OVER. The OVER is a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.

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    Free Analyst's Pick: Chargers vs Broncos

    Denver to cover and keep it close.

    Denver covering a 7-point spread is a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. The Broncos cover the spread in 58 percent of AccuScore simulations. On average, Denver loses by three-to-four points in the sims.

  • MUST READ: AccuScore's NFL Picks Record

    AccuScore's NFL Picks Track Record

    AccuScore is simply the best source of NFL picks and these are the 4 reasons why we think you will agree:

    1 - Profitable Picks: Spreads and Totals

    Last 2 Seasons
    • All Picks vs the Spread: 282-215-40, 56.7% +4550
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    AccuScore started out by competing in ESPN's expert picks competition and beat out the experts to claim three ESPN Expert Picks titles, beating out their experts and talent on straight pick'ems until we stopped participating around 2012 and 2013. But we didn't stop making picks. In the six seasons from 2012 to 2017, AccuScore's NFL moneyline picks are +6,113 profit. Likewise, AccuScore's Side Value picks, which is making moneyline picks based on AccuScore's odds analysis, are +6,221 over the past six years, along with being +1465 the last three seasons.

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    AccuScore's latest predictions: NFL Expert Picks

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    AccuScore is currently offering its best rate ever -- $349 for a full 12 months. If this were $349 for just NFL, we would be charging 50 to 70% less than competitors. But we include over 20 leagues in this $349 – NFL, College Football, MLB, NBA, College Basketball, NHL, Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, and more.

    When you add it up, you're not even paying 1 Cent per pick, and you're getting AccuScore’s recommendation, our betting accuracy on similar picks and our star rating for that pick.

    Competitors (even the ones losing tons of money) charge upwards of $50 for a single pick. Their “value” package will be $600 to $2000 for the full NFL Season. Unless you are betting $250+ per pick and were lucky enough to choose one of the few profitable ‘Cappers, you would never make a real profit once you factor for the high cost of the pick itself.

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    What about Free Guaranteed Picks?

    Sorry to break it to you, but 99% of “Free Guarantees” are worthless. AccuScore gives you a Free Week Preview if you sign up with the Monthly membership and are new to the site. If you're not new, you're already winning. Note that the monthly rate is double our Annual rate, and we don't offer a free trial on the annual rate because it's already too damn good of a deal. However, we do understand that our system is unique and does take people a few days before they get familiar with how to best use it for themselves. We don’t guarantee our performance during this week. We do not apologize for down weeks because that comes with the business. We give you tough love because our picks have always come through: Spreads, Totals, Moneyline and Side Value.

    The ‘Cappers offering Free Guarantees are doing one or both of these shady practices:

    Play Both Sides – they give half their customers one pick (ex. Cowboys +4.5) and give the other half the other side (ex. Jets -4.5). Either way 50% of these people will think they’re awesome for giving away free picks and then choose to plunk down real money.

    Take Money from the Enemy – Every site with a Sportsbook ad takes money on a bounty or a commission basis. Sportsbooks are not stupid. If the site they advertised with consistently delivered profits to subscribers, they would not advertise on their site. Many ‘Cappers get a 25 to 40% cut of your losses. So by giving Free picks or Paid picks that are bad the ‘Capper can make more money off of your losses than they did selling you or giving you a pick.

    AccuScore does not play both sides. Our Star Rated picks give you our pick against a static line. Our Expert Picks page provides Live update if the line moves. We also do not take sportsbook advertising, and we've never put a single link to a sportsbook on our site in a decade. Even if we wanted to, they don’t want to advertise with us because our clients actually turn consistent profits.

    There’s a reason why ESPN, Yahoo, CBS, and the Wall Street Journal and Turner Sports have paid us for our information and the sportsbooks avoid us like the plague.

  • NFL Preview - Packers vs Saints: Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers: Analyst Pick

    Coming off an impressive 52-38 victory over the Detroit Lions, the New Orleans Saints head to Lambeau Field for a matchup with the Aaron Rodgers-less Green Bay Packers. Following Rodgers' broken right clavicle injury last week, the Packers will now look to backup QB Brett Hundley.

    Betting Line: New Orleans Saints -4 Moneyline Odds: Saints -210, Packers +175 Total: 47

    Click Here for All of AccuScore's Week 7 NFL Picks

    Vegas Odds

    The line opened with the Packers as 3.5-point home underdogs, going up half-point to a full point depend on where you're look. The Westgate Superbook has the line at -4 for the Saints, but MGM has it at -4.5.

    The total opened at 47.5 and dropped to 47 in most books.

    Betting Trends

    • The Saints are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games.
    • New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay.
    • The Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.

    Betting on the Total
    The public is all over the OVER in this matchup. The OVER is 8-0 in the last eight matchups between the two sides. And with Drew Brees going against a Packers defense that isn't all that great -- all signs point to a fairly high-scoring contest.

    Make sure to check out the sim data for this matchup, though, since AccuScore is leaning to the other side of the total. Why?

    The Saints set a franchise record last week by scoring three defensive touchdowns in one game. They're coming into Sunday's matchup with plenty of momentum on that side of the ball, and now get to go up against a backup QB in Hundley who's still adjusting to the pro level.

    What to Watch For
    After Aaron Rodgers left last week's game against the Vikings on a car, Hundley took over and finished with 157 yards, 1 TD, and 3 INTs while completing just 18 of his 33 pass attempts. More importantly, he was sacked four times, struggling to get in any sort of rhythm.

    Hundley is projected to finish with 172 passing yards. He averages close to three times as many INTs as TDs in sims, indicating a strong performance by the Saints defense.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL Sunday: LA Rams at Ten Titans Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NFL Sunday: Week 16 - LA Rams at Tennessee Titans

    The Los Angeles Rams may have secured the NFC West division title last week with their road win in Seattle, but they'll be looking to keep this remarkable season going on the right track as they head to Tennessee for a matchup with the Titans. These two sides haven't played each other since 2013, when the Rams won 28-21 still representing the city of St. Louis.

    All of AccuScore's NFL picks
    Our computer has simulated every game 10,000 times like it does every week. Entering Week 16, the computer is 118-93-11, +1460 profit on all Over/Under picks this season: Week 16 NFL picks

    Vegas Odds
    The spread has stayed steady since the Rams opened as 6.5-point favorites. The total dropped about 1.5 points in most books since opening at 49.

    Betting Line: Los Angeles Rams -6.5 Total:47.5

    At the time of publication, 68 percent of the public were laying the points and picking the Rams.

    63 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

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    What to Watch For
    Playoff Picture: Mariota finished last week's 25-23 loss to the San Francisco 49ers completing 23-of-33 passes for 241 yards and 2 TDs. Mariota connected successfully with seven different receivers.

    Mariota is projected to finish with 221 passing yards, 1 TD, and 31 rushing yards on 4 attempts.

    Runnin' Wild: Rams RB Todd Gurley had himself a game last week, finishing with 4 TDs and 152 yards on 21 carries. The Rams dominated the Seahawks in Seattle, winning 42-7, and Gurley showed why he's one of the best as he went practically untouched on a 57-yard run. Tennessee is solid against the run, but it's nothing Gurley can't handle.

    Gurley is projected to finish with 116 yards on 18-to-19 carries and 1 TD.

    Analyst's Pick
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    Saturday's Analyst Preview: Packers vs Vikings Pick

  • Vikings vs Bears: NFL Week 11 Expert Picks

    Chargers vs Broncos: Analyst Preview & Expert Pick

    We're always interested when AccuScore sims and bookmaker odds are on different sides of the money line, and that's exactly what we've got in this weekend's matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears. Entering this week 11 contest, the Bears surprisingly haven't won a game yet this season against a team with a winning record.

    Let's take a closer look at where's the value at in this game.

    Vegas Odds

    Spread
    Chicago Bears -2.5

    Total
    44.5

    Top NFL Trends:
    • All Spread & Totals Picks Last 2 seasons: +7070
    • 2018 Spread Picks (After Week 10): 83-57-8, 59.3% +2030
    • 2018 Totals Picks (After Week 10): 82-58-8, 58.6% +1820
    2018 Spread and Totals Picks (Every game): +3850
    All NFL Week 11 Expert Picks

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    What to Watch For

    Movement: The Bears opened up as 2.5-point favorites and there has been no movement on the spread so far this week. The total has also stayed put at 44.5.

    Quality of Competition: The Bears will be looking for their fourth-straight win this weekend, but the recent string of opponents haven't been anything to write home about. They have defeated the Jets, Bills and Lions -- three teams that have a combined 9-20 record.

    Playing with Momentum: Minnesota is 4-1 since the beginning of October, with the only loss coming against a strong New Orleans Saints team. Two of those wins came on the road -- one as a favorite, one as a 'dog.

    Bye Week: Will this weekend's matchup be dictated by rust or rest? Vikings will have fresh legs after a bye week, but the Bears have on-field momentum to build from. Minnesota has won six of their last seven overall vs Chicago.

    Struggling on the Ground: Keep an eye on Chicago's production on the ground. Chicago has rushed for a disappointing 59 yards per game on 2.5 yards per carry in the last two games.

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    Free Analyst's Pick: Vikings vs Bears

    Vikings to win.

    Oddsmakers have the Bears as the slight favorites, but it's the Vikings that win the majority of AccuScore sims -- suggesting some added side value on the underdog. Odds give the Vikings close to a 45 percent chance to win, but they win 53 percent of AccuScore sims.

    Minnesota covering the 2.5-point spread is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.