NFL Sunday: Seahawks vs Jaguars - Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Seahawks vs Jaguars - NFL Sunday Odds & Analyst Pick

Week 14 NFL action continues Sunday with a full slate of games. Let's take a closer look at the Seahawks-Jaguars matchup that AccuScore sim data has a unique take on. Vegas has the home Jaguars as slight favorites, but AccuScore data is on the other side of that line.

Vegas Odds
There's hasn't been a lot of movement on the spread or total in this matchup since the lines opened.

Betting Line: Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5
Total: 39.5

At the time of publication, close to 65 percent of the public were taking Seattle on the road.

60-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends

- Seattle is 7-2 straight up (SU) in its last nine games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Seahawks' last 5 games.
- Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road.

AccuScore has all expert picks for NFL Thursday, Sunday and Monday live: All of AccuScore's NFL Picks

What to Watch For
Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Sim Data: It's not a must-win game but currently sitting at the No. 5 seed, the Seahawks need to treat it as one. They're coming off a huge win last week against Philadelphia and will look to carry that momentum with them on the road in EverBank Field.

Why is AccuScore favoring the road side more than Vegas is? Lots of variables go into play, but just look at their performance last week -- the defense, despite its injuries, held a potent Eagles offense to just 10 points.

MVP: Seahawks QB Russell Wilson was really good against Philly. He finished with 3 TDs while completing 20 of 31 of his passes for 227 yards; he also hadded 31 yards on the ground with 6 six carries. He's in the MVP discussion and all signs point to another big-time performance this weekend. Their pass blocking has been sub par, but Wilson has made the best of the situation -- as was clear against an Eagles pass rush known for its ability to limit opposing QBs.

Wilson is projected to finish with 265 passing yards and 2 TDs.

Fun Fact: The Seahawks last faced the Jaguars in 2013 when Seattle won 45-17.

Analyst's Pick
Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

*New NFL Special: Sign up for an annual membership using code NFLseason and you'll only be charged $100 for 2 months of membership, which includes the entire NFL post season, NCAA Football Bowl season and every other sport on the AccuScore calendar...NBA, NHL, EPL, La Liga, NCAA Basketball, etc... Join Now!

NFL Thursday: Steelers vs Titans Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers: TNF Analyst Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers haven't necessarily looked dominant in every quarter of every game, but they are what their record says they are. 7-2 sitting atop the AFC with the New England Patriots. The Steelers will look for their fifth straight win when they host the Tennessee Titans Thursday night to kick off Week 11 in the NFL.

Vegas Odds
There has been practically no movement on the spread or total since they opened Monday night.

Betting Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -7
Total: 44

At the time of publication, the public was split even on the spread. 60 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

AccuScore has all picks for Thursday & Week 11, including a free forecast with picks, trends and player projections: All of AccuScore's NFL Picks

Betting Trends
-Tennessee is 0-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last four games in November. -Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS vs teams with a winning record. The Titans are 6-3. -The UNDER is 7-0 in the Steelers' last seven games after recording fewer than than 90 rushing yards rushing in their previous game.They had just 88 rushing yards (80 by Le'veon Bell) last week against the Indianapolis Colts.

What to Watch For
Pittsburgh improved to 5-1 on the road last week after coming back from down 14 to win 20-17 over the Colts. QB Ben Roethlisberger enters Week 11 completing about 61 percetn of his passes with a passer rating of 83.8 -- his lowest in almost a decade. He clearly comes through, though, when it counts the most.

Roethlesberger is projected to finish with 269 passing yards and 2 TDs. He averages just 0.6 INTs per simulation.

Titans RB DeMarco Murray finally had himself a game in Week 10, finish with 2 TDs to help Tennessee win 24-20. Although he's coming off a strong performance where he carried the ball 14 times and added 4 receptions, he has only gone over 14 rushes once this season. He's a goal-line threat, though, and there's always value in that.

He's projected to finish with 60 yards on 16 carries. He averages just 0.3 TDs per sim.

Analyst's Pick
Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

*New NFL Special: Use code NFLseason and you'll get an all-sports membership for only $159 valid until the end of the NFL season, i.e. through the playoffs and until the day after the Super Bowl on Feb. 4, 2018 (All other sports are included too: NBA, NHL, NCAA Football, EPL, La Liga, etc.)... Join Now!

NFL Week 17: Cowboys at Eagles - Analyst Pick & Preview

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: NFL Week 17 Analyst Pick

There might not be any Thursday night action in the NFL for Week 17, but Sunday's slate has plenty for bettors out there. The Cowboys and Eagles take center stage at 1 PM Eastern at Lincoln Financial Field . Let's take a closer look at where the value is in a matchup in which the two teams have nothing to play for.

Vegas Odds
There hasn't been much movement on the spread or total since the lines opened. The Cowboys opened as 2-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher; the total dropped a couple points since opening at 43.

Betting Line: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Total: 41

At the time of publication, 54 percent of the public were laying the points and picking the Eagles.

61 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

All of AccuScore's 2017 NFL Picks
• Spreads/Totals/Moneyline Picks: +2583 profit

Our computer has simulated every game 10,000 times like it does every week…Week 17 NFL picks

Not a member? Get an All-Access All-Sports membership at 20% off using coupon code NFLPlayoffs20 - Join AccuScore Today!

Betting Trends
• The Cowboys are 4-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games on the road.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road vs the Eagles.

What to Watch For
Dak vs the Pass Rush: Dak Prescott finished Week 16 against the Seattle Seahawks with 182 yards and 2 INTs struggling to get into any sort of rhythm with a set of weapons that seem to be more bark than bite. Prescott lost left tackle Tyron Smith early in last week's matchup, and that doesn't bode well for him this week - regardless of how motivated the Eagles are to win this week. The Eagles rank No. 2 on the season in opponent incompletions per game.

Prescott is projected to finish with 262 passing yards and 2 TDs, to go along with 21 rushing yards on 3 carries.

Eagles on the Ground: Ajayi finished Week 16 with 52 rushing yards on 14 carries and caught two-of-three passes for 21 yards and 1 TD. He did have a fumble to go along with production, though, in the 19-10 win over Oakland. He started the game off with a bang, catching a 17-yard TD on just the Eagles' second drive. That was unfortunately marred by the fumble later on, but Ajayi has been more-than-satisfactory since putting on the Philly uniform. He's averaged nearly 15 touches over the last four games, but that sort of action could be in jeopardy given the team has nothing substantial to play for in Week 17.

Ajayi is projected to finish with 68 yards on 13 carries, but it's teammate LeGarrette Blount that has a slightly higher probability at finding the end zone. Blount averages 0.6 TDs per simulated matchup, compared to Ajayi's 0.5.

Analyst's Pick
Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

*use code NFLplayoffs20 for 20% off All-Sports membership - Limited time special