• Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: NFL Sunday Night Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Cowboys vs Eagles: Sunday Night NFL Pick

    Sunday night features an intriguing matchup on the NFL slate as the 5-4 Dallas Cowboys host the 8-1 Philadelphia Eagles at AT&T Stadium. Philly will look to avenge their OT loss the last time they were on the road against Dallas.

    Vegas Odds
    There has been very little movement on the total since it oped at 47, but the spread shifted two-to-three points depending on where you're looking. The Eagles opened as 3-point favorites before settling down at -5.5.

    Betting Line: Philadelphia Eagles -5.5/-6
    Total: 47.5/48

    At the time of publication, about 66 percent of the public were laying the points on the road and taking Philly.

    68 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

    Betting Trends
    - The total has gone OVER in four of the Cowboys' last six games.
    - The Cowboys are 9-3 straight up (SU) in their last 12 games at home.
    - The total has gone OVER in four of the Cowboys' last six games at home.

    All of AccuScore's NFL Picks, including a free preview of the Lions vs the Bears... All of AccuScore's NFL Sunday Picks

    What to Watch For
    While the Eagles are heavy favorites in Vegas and in the public's eye, AccuScore sim data has the Cowboys actually winning over 50 percent of simulations. How could our data and Vegas differ so much in their projections?

    The Cowboys have the second-best rushing attack at home and the variables seem to be weighing that statistic heavily.

    Alfred Morris is projected to finish with 71 yards on 16 carries; Darren McFadden is projected to finish with 30 yards on 7 carries; Dak Prescott is projected to finish with close to 40 yards on 5 attempts. Prescott has the highest probability of all Cowboys to run it into the end zone.

    With the eye test, Philly looks unbeatable. On paper, though, things aren't as perfect. They only have a +6 turnover margin, with Carson Wentz holding a 23:5 TD:INT ratio.

    In AccuScore sims, turnovers play the biggest factor -- with Dallas actually winning 67 percent of sims in which they commit fewer turnovers.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL Injury Analysis - J.J. Watt

    Written by AccuScore Staff

  • NFL Preview: Giants vs Seahawks: Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Seattle Seahwawks at New York Giants: Analyst Preview & Pick

    After winning their first game of the season last week, the New York Giants (1-5) get set to host the Seattle Seahawks (3-2) this Sunday at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands. The Giants haven't had much go right this season, leading with the Odell Beckham Jr. injury. The Giants finally got a win, though, and that's already had an interesting impact on the betting market.

    Betting Line: Seattle Seahawks -4
    Moneyline Odds: Seahawks -210, Giants +175
    Total: 39.5

    Click Here for All of AccuScore's Week 7 NFL Picks

    Vegas Odds

    Seattle opened Week 7 as 8-point favorites. Over the past few days, the public has pushed that line down to -4, with the majority of the public overreacting to the Giants' win last week.

    The total has stay consistent, settling at 39.5 after opening at 39.

    Betting Trends
    • The Giants are 0-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games at home against a West Cost team.
    • The Giants are 2-10 straight up (SU) in their last 12 games as home underdogs.
    • The UNDER is 6-1 in the Giants' last seven games on field turf.

    What to Watch For
    Let's give credit where it's due -- the Giants pulled off an impressive win last week against the Denver Broncos as two-TD underdogs.

    No Odell, no Brandon Marshall, and no Sterling Shepard. QB Eli Manning finished with just 128 yards through the air, but it was RB Orleans Darkwa who stole the show. Darkwa finished with 117 yards on the ground against the No.1 run defense in the league.

    Darkwa is projected to finish Sunday's game with 21 rushing yards on 4 carries.

    Manning is projected to finish with 246 passing yards, averaging almost as many INTs (0.7) as TDs (0.9) in the sims.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL Thursday: Ravens vs Dolphins Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Ravens vs Dolphins: TNF Analyst Pick

    This week's episode of Thursday Night Football features a pair of teams looking to get a win and get back in the playoff hunt. The Baltimore Ravens host the Miami Dolphins having won seven of the last eight meetings between the two sides.

    Vegas Odds

    The total has stayed consistent at 48.5 since the line opened, but the spread has dropped from -6 to -4.5 for Philly.

    Betting Line: Baltimore Ravens -3
    Total: 37

    Click Here for All of AccuScore's Week 7 NFL Picks

    Top AccuScore Trends: After Week 7 (before MNF)
    - All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 57-41-7 58.9% +1,190
    - All Side Value Picks: 58-44 +2527
    - All Totals Picks: 52-42-6 +1080
    All NFL Spread, Totals & Side Value Picks: +4797 profit!

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    Betting Trends

    • The Dolphins are 1-6 straight up (SU) in their last seven games against the Ravens.
    • The Dolphins are 0-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against the Ravens.
    • The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games at night.
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Ravens' last five games

    What to Watch For

    For the Dolphins, their best chance at staying competitive in this matchup is with their defense. They're giving up just 82 yards per game on the ground, good for No. 6 in the league. The Baltimore offensive line is banged up and we should see the Miami pressuring the QB early and often.

    The Dolphins' defense average 1.3 forced turnovers per simulated matchup, with a much higher chance of an INT than a forced fumble.

    Matt Moore threw a pair of TDs in the Dolphins' 31-28 win over New York last week. Moore was above-average last season when stepping in for QB Ryan Tannehill, finishing with a TD:INT ratio of 8:3 in three games.

    Moore is projected to finish Thursday night's matchup with 246 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL TNF Analyst Pick: Eagles at Panthers - Week 6

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NFL Thursday - Panthers vs Eagles

    Thursday night NFL action in this week's slate features a pair of 4-1 teams looking to keep momentum trending the right way. The Panthers are slight 3-to-3.5-point favorites, getting the nod as the home side in what's projected as a tight matchup.

    Date/Time: Thursday, 10/12 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
    Spread: Panthers -3.5
    Total: 45.5

    Vegas Odds
    There really hasn't been a whole lot of movement on the line, Vegas and the public expecting a close matchup Thursday night.

    The line opened at -3 for Carolina, moving up just a half-point in some books across Vegas. Same for the total, up a half-point to 45.5.

    Betting Trends
    • The Eagles are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games.
    • The Eagles are 6-1 straight up (SU) in their last seven games.
    • The Eagles 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
    • The total has gone OVER seven of the Eagles' last 10 games.
    • The Panthers are 1-3-2 in their last six games at home.

    Top AccuScore Trends: After Week 5
    - All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 43-30-4, 58.9% +1,000
    - All Side Value Picks: 44-31, 58.7% +1800
    - All Totals Picks: 44-29-4, 60.3% +1210
    All NFL Spread, Totals & Side Value Picks: +4010 profit!

    All of AccuScore's Week 6 NFL Picks

    What to Watch For
    Trouble on the O-line: As John Breech of CBS Sports first pointed out, the absence of offensive lineman Lane Johnson has the potential to be a huge game changer this week; Johnson suffered a concussion in Sunday's game against the Arizona Cardinals and is projected to be out Thursday night on a short week.

    Why's that such a big deal? Johnson has been in the lineup for 11 of Wentz's 21 career starts.

    In those 11 games, Wentz has a 9-2 record, 65.7 completion percentage, 2,766 yards, 20 TDs, 5 INTs, and a 99.9 passer rating.

    He went 2-8 in the games without Johnson, looking like a completely different product on the field. In those 10 games, he went 2-8 and threw twice as many INTs (12) as TDs (6).

    Wentz is projected to finish Thursday's game with 261 yards, averaging 1.3 TDs to 0.8 INTs in sims.

    Ground Game: Philly's run defense has actually been solid this year -- containing the likes of Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt so far this season. The Eagles gave up some late yardage on the ground to the Chiefs and Chargers, but for the most part have been consistently above average in that category.

    The Panthers are projected to finish with at least 1 rushing TD.

    Analyst's Pick
    Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

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