• Hot Trends - NHL & NBA Playoffs, Baseball's Hot Week

    Written by AccuScore Staff
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    Hot Trends - NHL & NBA Playoffs

    Cashing in with NHL playoffs

    The hockey season is approaching its pinnacle point--the Stanley Cup finals. But first, we need to figure out which teams are going to proceed to the finals. With the first round all but over, let’s look back how accurate Accuscore predictions have been at the start of the NHL playoffs.

    When betting outright winners in moneyline markets, 100 dollars in 42 games played so far have converted to 900 profit so far. Any bettor would take that. Another 400 dollar profit has been recorded by betting the same games on side value bets.

    In Europe, hockey leagues are in final stages. During the regular season and also in playoffs, the best profits have been recorded from totals betting. KHL provided a playoff profit of 500, while Liiga in Finland scored profits of 210 during the playoffs. Many of these players will head to ice hockey World Championship starting next week. Accuscore simulates every game from this tournament, as well. As a reminder, AccuScore recorded profits of 870 and 190 dollars from side value and totals betting, respectively, in the 2017 World Championships.

    All of Today's NHL Picks: NBA playoffs picks

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    NBA Playoffs - Early Returns

    NBA playoffs are in full speed as well. Golden State and Philadelphia proceeding to the second round were not surprises, but the New Orleans Pelicans 4-0 swept over Portland wasn’t included into most predictions.

    So far, the best betting results based on Accuscore predictions have been seen in side value betting. Even though some favorites have been struggling, we have been able to secure 91 dollars profit in playoffs. This is expected to be increasing, because simulations will catch up hot teams better during second round of playoffs.

    All of Today's NBA Picks: NBA playoffs picks

    Baseball Trends - Fire Week

    Baseball season has been struggled with cold weather in many places since start of the season. However, bettors who have followed Accuscore moneyline bets have been hot during the last week. With 100 bet for every MLB game during the last seven days, 1414 dollars profit have been recorded. That would keep you warm for a while. One nugget from totals betting is the trend of Washington Nationals playing on the road. Accuscore has predicted 10/11 correct of these game totals.

    All of Today's MLB Picks: Baseball Picks

  • NBA playoffs - Friday night fever

    Written by Accuscore staff

    All Game 6 betting analysis

    Wizards at Hawks: Game 6

    The Washington Wizards head back to Philips Arena in Atlanta for Game 6 of their best-of-seven series, and John Wall and the Wizards are looking for their first road win of the playoffs. Thus far, Atlanta has picked up its game in both home games, and with elimination staring them in the face, the Hawks will look to pull out another home victory and push the series to seven games.

    Betfair odds: The Wizards are 13/10 to win on the moneyline, while the Hawks are 4/6 to win without any handicap. Betfair does offer a +3 handicap at 10/11 for the Wizards, and conversely, the Hawks pay out 10/11 for -3 points handicap. The total points line is 210, with the OVER paying out 20/21 and the UNDER paying out 9/10.

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    AccuScore Odds Analysis:

    Based on thousands of game and individual player simulations, Accuscore predicts Atlanta to win this tight game with 54% probability. This doesn’t have any value, but when we compare Wizards win probability of 46% to Betfair odds, there is value for a bet. With +3 handicap Accuscore calculates that Washington has 52.7% chance to cover. Totals probability doesn’t differ from Betfair at all, so there is no value for betting.

    Against the Spread, Moneyline, Totals & Player Projections: AccuScore’s NBA Playoffs Expert Picks

    Celtics at Bulls: Game 6

    The Boston Celtics lost their first two home games of the 2017 NBA Playoffs, with former Celtics point guard Rajan Rondo running the show for the Chicago Bulls. After the Bulls went up 2-0 in the series and looked like they may even sweep the no. 1 team in the Eastern Conference, Rondo broke his thumb and had to sit out the next three games. The Bulls promptly lost all three games, and now, head back to Chicago for a do-or-die Game 6 that could see Rondo back handling the basketball with a broken thumb as Chicago gets desperate.

    Betfair odds: On the moneyline, the Bulls are 4/5 and the Celtics are 21/20, which means this game is almost even. Betfair offers a +0.5 handicap for the Bulls at 9/10. Conversely, the Celtics pay out 20/21 for -0.5 points handicap. The total points line is 204.5, with the OVER paying out 10/11 and the UNDER also paying out 10/11.

    AccuScore Odds Analysis:

    AccuScore Odds Analysis: Accuscore predicted Celtics to win this series all the way from the beginning. Celtics is 56.3% favorite to clinch the series in this next game. Betfair odds follow pretty well these numbers, so bettors don’t find a great value in this moneyline market. Point spread is more interesting market. As the handicap is currently standing at +0.5 for the Bulls, the probability for Celtics to cover this is basically the same as their chance to win game outright - 56.0% This is good value especially when the odds are 20/21. Accuscore’s simulations show total for this game at 202.5. This gives UNDER bets 60.3% probability to succeed.

    Clippers at Jazz: Game 6

    The LA Clippers face elimination on the road against the Utah Jazz despite Chris Paul’s heroics during the series. The Clippers point guard is averaging 27.0 points, 10.4 assists and 5.6 rebounds to go along with 2.0 steals per game while shooting 53.1 percent from the field and 44.0 percent from three-point land during the series. Despite all that, the Clippers are down 3-2 in the series. Of course, losing Blake Griffin to a toe injury doesn’t help LA, and the return of Rudy Gobert from a knee injury did help Utah. Game 6 in Utah is equally a statement about the rise of Utah’s young core and yet another prospective failure for the Clippers’ aging core. Is this the last season of DeAndre Jordan, Blake Griffin and Paul? Also, will Doc Rivers keep his job if the Clippers lose in the first round?

    Betfair odds: The LA Clippers are 2/1 to win on the moneyline, while the Jazz are 2/5 to win straight up. Betfair offers a +5.5 handicap for the Clippers at 10/11 and conversely, the Jazz pay out 10/11 for -5.5 points handicap. The total points line is 192.5, with the OVER paying out 9/10 and the UNDER paying out 20/21.

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    AccuScore Odds Analysis:

    AccuScore performed 10,000 statistically-based simulations in its mathematical model to find value against Betfair’s odds, and according to the computer, Utah offers the slightest bit of value on the moneyline, as the Jazz won 72.1% of the time in the simulated environment. When it came to the -5.5 points handicap, the Jazz won by 6 or more points in 57.7% of simulations, which suggests that this the best value pick for Game 6. With regards to the Total Points line of 192.5, the computer went over 50.8% of the time, so while the value is on the Over, it’s not exactly overwhelming considering the 9/10 payout.

  • NBA Playoffs 2017: Warriors to Win

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NBA Playoffs: AccuScore Picking Warriors To Win it All

    The NBA Playoffs are here - finally. The first round of the playoffs is easily one of the most entertaining two-to-three weeks of hoops all year with multiple series tipping off this Saturday. Let's take a look at some key points to watch for.

    Not an AccuScore member? This is a great time to join. The computer is known to get hot for the playoffs after a full season of data under its belt. Join now using the coupon code NBA20 and get 20% off membership (monthly or annual)… Join Today!

    Below the Radar, but Very Important

    In the Western Conference, the 4-5 matchup between the Los Angeles Clippers and Utah Jazz is easily one of the least discussed, but most intriguing. The winner of this matchup will end up playing the Golden State Warriors in the second round of the postseason. It's a loss either way.

    What's interesting, though, is that both Utah and L.A. have potentially volatile offseasons coming up. Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, Gordon Hayward - all free agents this offseason. A long(er) postseason run should allow for easier decisions in the offseason, right?

    Against the Spread & Totals: AccuScore’s NBA Playoffs Picks

    Will Cleveland walk through the East?

    Although the last six years indicate LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers will once again reach the NBA Finals, a first-round matchup with Indiana along with AccuScore sim data suggests the path to repeating just might not be so easy.

    Indiana isn't the scariest of threats in the first round, but their talent on the wing with Paul George and athleticism in the middle with Myles Turner should prove to at least provide the fans with some competitive moments. Here's the thing - the Cavs can sweet the Pacers when playing their best ball.

    The problem, though, is that we haven't seen that level of execution from Cleveland in quite some time now. Can the second week of April flip the proverbial switch for Cleveland?

    First Round to Win it All

    Given how ridiculous this season's MVP race has been, why not have it decided on who wins the first-round matchup between the Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder?

    In that sort of a set-up, AccuScore sim data would give the award to Harden as the Rockets are heavy favorites to win the series, majority of outcomes being decided in six or seven games.

    Keep an eye out for prop bet opportunities though in this series, with the lean on the OVER for any total -- individual or team.

    Best Bets / Value Picks

    In the often predictable NBA offseason, where's the value?

    After thousands of simulations, AccuScore sim data leans much more heavily towards the Toronto Raptors winning the Eastern Conference than indicated by Vegas odds.

    Toronto upsets Cleveland in the conference semis --- more than likely in 6 games -- to face the Warriors in the NBA Finals.

    At 30:1 odds, Toronto in the weaker East offers even more intrinsic value than any team in the West since very few consider the Rockets or Clippers to be 'true' title contenders compared to the Warriors or Spurs.

    They added forward Serge Ibaka in the offseason for this exact sort of a run. The Cavs are struggling as a whole, and specifically, have had issues with depth all season.

    With all that said, the Golden State Warriors are heavy 88.4 percent favorites over the Raptors in the NBA Finals.

    NBA Playoffs 2017 Odds

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  • NBA Playoffs: Cavs vs Celtics - Game 1

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    2017 Eastern Conference Finals: Cavs vs Celtics - Game 1

    The Eastern Conference Finals are set to tip off Wednesday night in Boston, with the No. 2 seed Cleveland Cavaliers hitting the road to match up with the Celtics. Let's be honest - very few expect the Celtics to win this series.

    Game 1, though? There's some value there.

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    Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Simulations

    The Celtics are home underdogs, listed at anywhere from +165 to +175 on the money line, indicating they have about a 37 percent chance to win the game. The Cavaliers are 4-point favorites, with the total set at 219.5.

    We're always interested when AccuScore sim data is on the different side of a money line pick when compared to Vegas odds. AccuScore sim data actually has the Celtics winning Game 1. Sims would have had Boston listed at either -120 or -125, suggesting a whole lot of value on the +165 listed currently.

    With that in mind, the Celtics covering a 4-point spread if a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. Boston covers the spread in 63 percent of simulations.

    What to Watch For

    Whether it's the rust variable or home court advantage, sim data expects the Celtics to take care of the ball better than the Cavaliers. Keep an eye on how successfully guys like Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart get in the passing lanes. Celtics average more than 3 fewer turnovers than Cavs in sims.

    Boston is No. 2 in the league in NBA team opponent three point percentage. If Boston expects to stay competitive in this game and the entire series, defending the three-point line is going to be key. The Cavaliers shot 61-of-131 (46.5%) in four games vs the Raptors. They're projected to finish with no more than 12 three's made on 37 percent shooting.

    If the Cavaliers have one glaring weakness, it's their transition defense. This ties back into the Celtics forcing turnovers, but getting buckets in transition would be the best way to get any sort of an advantage against a more talented and bigger roster.

  • NBA Playoffs: Spurs-Rockets - Game 5

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Rockets vs Spurs: Game 5

    The Rockets-Spurs best-of-seven series heads back to San Antonio for Game 5 with the home team favored by 5.5 points and the total set at 214. With Rockets' backup center Nene done for the playoffs with a groin injury, watch for Houston to keep going with smaller lineups to push the tempo.

    NBA Playoffs - Spurs vs Rockets Game 5
    Click Here for all NBA Playoffs picks

    Vegas vs AccuScore

    We're always interested when our simulation data differs heavily from the numbers set in Vegas. Simulation data seems to agree with the spread, but it does have a total that's about six points lower than that in Vegas. The Spurs are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games at home, and it’s fair to say that they’re expected to continue that trend Tuesday night.

    The total combined score stays below 214 in nearly 59 percent of simulations, with the data suggesting the line should be much lower at approximately 208. The UNDER is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

    Recent trends, however, go against our simulation data.

    • The total has gone OVER in five of Houston’s last seven games on the road.
    • The total has gone OVER in seven of San Antonio’s last eight games.

    Sim data or recent trends? Choose your fate.

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    What to Watch For

    Keep an eye on the production from Patty Mills and Dejounte Murray. With Tony Parker out for the remainder of the playoffs, it’ll be interesting to see what kind of home-road splits the role players for the Spurs have. Mills, surprisingly, is only 8-of-21 in the last two games since Parker went out, but expect him to have a better game Tuesday come back to San Antonio. Mills and Murray are projected to finish with approximately 15 points combined in Game 5. Mills is projected to shoot 2-of-5 from beyond the arc.

    Houston dominated Game 4 with 19 made three-point baskets. A 68-point second half reminded everyone just how dominant that offense can be. AccuScore’s sim data would tell anyone looking at prop bets for Houston’s total made three-pointers to take the UNDER. The Rockets make just 13-of-37 three-pointers in Game 5 simulations.

    After averaging below 17 points per game in the first two games of this series, James Harden has put up 35.5 over the last two. He’s projected to finish with 31 points on 9-of-21 shooting.

  • NBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer: Cold Weather, Hot Trends

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Cold Weather - Hot Profits For AccuScore

    The Major League Baseball season started few weeks ago, and the Boston Red Sox have been red hot with only two losses in 11 games, but how hot have Accuscore's baseball picks been during the first few weeks of the season? Notably, games when the home team favorite had over -130 odds have been profitable when simply betting moneyline as well as side value. You would receive profit of 282 and 439 dollars, respectively, when betting 100 for every game.

    Note: Be sure to check out AccuScore's Guide to Baseball

    While baseball season is just taking its first steps of the season, the NHL is into its postseason. After 1270 regular season games, Accuscore's NHL Picks generated overall profit with side value and moneyline bets. By betting 100 dollars for every game the profit of 495 from moneyline markets and 392 from side value bets may not seem staggering, but an overall profit entering the playoffs is always a positive sign for the playoffs. In addition, season totals bets also generated profits.

    Another league that changes gears to the postseason mood is the NBA. AccuScore's NBA Side value bets generated a profit of 1,363 when every game was bet by 100 units. Also, totals wagers generated profit during this regular season. A decent 390 profit out of all games when betting total based on Accuscore predictions is always good in your pocket.

    With a full season of data to fuel the projections and both sports profitable, NBA and NHL playoffs look set for a strong postseason, and NBA playoffs picks should be updated regularly.

    Soccer leagues in Europe don’t have playoffs in the traditional sense, even though the seasons are winding down across the continent. We have been very happy with the accuracy of our predictions since start of the season in August. The total profit of $32k with 100 dollars per every game in totals and 20% side value is something that anyone would welcome.

    During the last month, Serie A Picks continue to be the best performing league predictions in Europe. This time, the profit count during the last month is 1,078 when all side value bets and totals bets from every Serie A games were summed up. Overall, the accuracy of Serie A game predictions has been very good as the season totals shows over $10k profit for all of totals and 20% side value bets.

    Finally, AccuScore has predicted every Champions League game since group stage was completed. In these 24 games, few great side values in Manchester City losses against Basel and Liverpool have built up a great profit. By betting 100 dollars in every game’s side value, the profit number currently stands at 3150 dollars! Total bets from these same games have added another 328 dollars to the same profit column. With only five matches remaining in the Champions League, we're looking for these profits to continue to grow through the semifinals and final.

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  • Warriors Over Rockets in Western Conference Finals

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Western Conference Finals: Warriors Heavy Favorites

    The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors kick off the Western Conference Finals on Monday, and many people consider this series effectively the NBA championship. Well, AccuScore’s computer has a pretty strong stance on who will win this series with the Golden State Warriors winning 70.1% of AccuScore’s simulations.

    The Houston Rockets aren’t exactly hopeless, but they’re facing long odds.

    To put into perspective the gulf between the Warriors and the Rockets, the latter of whom finished the season with the best record in the NBA, the Warriors have a 39.1% chance of winning the series in either four or five games. As a reminder, the Rockets only have 29.9% chance to win the series in any manner.

    In fact, the longer the series goes, the better the chances for Houston to pull off the upset.

    AccuScore has spread, totals and side value picks for every game in both conference finals and in the NBA Finals: NBA Playoffs Picks

    The Rockets have a 14.2% chance of winning in 7 games versus the Warriors’ 13.5% chance to win if the series goes the distance. Effectively, the Rockets’ best chance to advance to the NBA Finals involves playing the Warriors seven times and banking on the home court advantage to carry them through. That said, the Warriors are most likely to win in 5 games at 26.3% with the next most likely outcome as the Dubs winning in six games at 17.4%.

    To open the series, the Rockets won 52.4% of Game 1 simulations, so Houston is not exactly expected to be a pushover. All the games in Houston expect to be close contests with the Warriors afforded opportunities to win games, while the contests in Oakland fall in an entirely different category. Beating the Warriors four times in seven games with Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson all healthy is going to take some doing.

    Ultimately, AccuScore calculates that the probability of Houston beating the Warriors four times in a series is about a 30-70 split, with Golden State the clear favorite.

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  • Warriors vs Spurs: WCF Game 1

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Western Conference Finals: Game 1

    The Western Conference Finals. We finally made it to the WCF matchup most expected to get, the Spurs and Warriors with a chance to secure a trip to the NBA Finals. Given the talent difference and just overall style of play, it's not tough to see why Golden State is such a heavy favorite to win the series.

    They've been at about -1100 on the money line this week to win the series, suggesting over a 91 percent chance of winning. San Antonio, at about +700, is being given about a 12.5 percent chance of winning.

    Let's take a closer look at what AccuScore simulations have to say about the series, and Game 1.

    Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Simulations

    AccuScore data actually bumps the Warriors' 91 percent chance of winning up to 94-to-94 percent, suggesting the money line pick on the Warriors has some value.

    How quickly do the simulations expect this series to end? There's nearly a 68 percent chance the Warriors win the series in four or five games, with the most likely outcome being five games.

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    Game 1 Outlook

    At the time of publication, the Warriors are listed as 10.5-point favorites at home, with the total listed at 211.5. There hasn't been any movement on line or total since it opened.

    While the simulation percentage doesn't indicate much of a value, the Warriors covering the spread is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. In the past 30 days, the Spurs are 3-3 covering the spread on the road.

    Spurs-vs-Warriors-Game 1
    Click Here for all NBA Playoffs picks

    Betting Trends

    We have another situation where simulation data is going against recent betting trends. Sims suggest taking the OVER, with nearly 57 percent of simulated matchups staying UNDER 211.5, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.


    • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Spurs' last 9 games vs the Warriors.

    What to Watch For

    Point Guard Battle - The Spurs were one of two teams who won their regular season series vs the Warriors, winning two-of-three matchups. The Warriors didn't have everyone healthy, though, so looking at those games to indicate future results is largely futile. Given the discrepancy in top-level talent between the two teams, a big variable will be the play of Patty Mills and Dejounte Murray - collectively replacing Tony Parker. Mills is averaging nearly 15 points per game and 4.5 assists per game over his last four contests. There's a very good chance Warriors guard Stephen Curry feasts on these two, one of many obstacles the Spurs will have to overcome or strategize around.

    Offensive Rebounding - If the Spurs are going to win any games, they'll have to dominate the glass, especially the offensive boards. The Spurs will more than likely stay big with LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol, and will need to take advantage of a team that gave back 25.1 percent of opposition's missed shots. The Warriors are down to below 18 percent in the postseason, No. 1 in the league, but keeping that number low against the Spurs won't be the same as doing it against Portland and Utah.

  • Westbrook Vs. Harden - NBA Playoff Analysis

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Westbrook vs Harden: Who is the REAL MVP?

    Despite the superb regular season campaigns put together by Kawhi Leonard and LeBron James, the fact of the matter is that this season's MVP race has largely been a two-man battle between James Harden and Russell Westbrook. One leading his team to a top-3 seed in the West while putting up big-time stats, the other averaging a 30-10-10 triple-double.

    Now that the Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder are matched up in the first round of the NBA Playoffs, the question must be answered: who has more of an impact on their team?

    Not an AccuScore member? This is a great time to join. The computer historically heats up for the playoffs after a full season of data under its belt. Join now using the coupon code NBA20 and get 20% off membership (monthly or annual)… Join Today!

    Winning Matters

    If you're looking at team success, it's tough to look past the impact Harden's made on the Rockets. He finished the regular season No. 1 in win shares, with Westbrook at No. 5.

    But what about individual efficiency?

    Against the Spread, Moneyline, Totals & Player Projections: AccuScore’s NBA Playoffs Expert Picks

    PER

    Westbrook led the league in PER at 30.9, while Harden finished at No. 5 with 27.4.

    Efficiency can often be situational and there are certain critics of the stat who put more weight on true production.

    Since the NBA began tracking possessions in the 1973-1974 season, Westbrook's 2016-2017 year is head and shoulders above his historic counterparts when it came to total combined points, rebounds, and assists per 100 possessions.

    James Harden makes the list, too.

    AccuScore

    With all this debate about the MVP race and the two players facing off in the first round of the NBA Playoffs, AccuScore decided to run some simulations to gauge how their teams would do without them.

    What stands out in the data is that Houston is simply a better team than Oklahoma City. Let's say both Harden and Westbrook are out - Houston's winning percentage for the series goes from 81 percent up to 86.

    If Westbrook missed the series, the Thunder’s probability of advancing goes from about 19 percent down to 10 percent. Conversely, if Harden missed the series, Houston still remains a strong favorite to advance. According to the computer, Westbrook is more valuable to his team than Harden, even if Oklahoma City is looking at long odds of advancing.

    Game 2 featured a 50-point triple double from Westbrook in a 115-111 loss.

    What'd we learn? OKC needs to get Westbrook more help.

  • Wizards at Celtics: Game 5 Preview

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics: Game 5

    With the best-of-seven series now tied at two games apiece, the Celtics and Wizards head back to Boston for a crucial Game 5. Home court advantage has been a major factor in this series, with role players struggling on the road only to get back on track at home – Bradley Beal being a great example following his 29-point performance in Game 4.

    At the time of publication, the Celtics are a 4-point favorite with the total set at 215.5. There’s only been about a half-point of movement since the lines opened at 4.5 points and 216, respectively.

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    AccuScore Simulations

    There’s a four-star AccuScore hot trend on this game’s spread, suggesting a slightly closer game than Vegas lines indicate. The Wizards – coached by Scott Brooks – have proven multiple times this season they’re capable of making defensive adjustments.

    Similar to Tuesday’s Rockets-Spurs matchup, simulation data seems to be going against recent betting trends. While the hot trend from simulations indicates an against the spread (ATS) pick on the Wizards, betting trend suggest otherwise.

    • Boston is 5-0 straight up (SU) and ATS in their last five games following back-to-back losses.
    • Washington is 1-5 SU in their last six games on the road.

    Sim data also indicates a different pick on the total, compared to recent trends. AccuScore simulations have the total set 2.5 points lower than that in Vegas, suggesting the UNDER. The total, though, has gone OVER in five of Boston’s last six playoff home games as a favorite.

    Wizards vs Celtics - Game 5
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    What to Watch For

    The Wizards have been incredibly successful on the defensive end with Markieff Morris on the floor, outscoring the Celtics by a shade of 28 points per 100 possessions. According to Basketball Insiders, Morris has only played 92 minutes in the series, compared to 138 minutes for Marcin Gortat and 150+ for other starters. His ankle injury earlier in the series has affected his overall time on the floor, but keep an eye on his presence on the floor because it has had direct positive impact on Washington’s defense.

    After scoring just 14 points in Game 2 and 11 points in Game 3, Bradley Beal broke out in Game 4 with 29 points. He shot 69 percent from the field in Game 4, after shooting just 37 percent in Games 1-3. It's unfair to expect another 60-plus percent shooting performance from Beal, but his aggressiveness on defense clearly had a positive impact on his offensive production. By having to guard Thomas, Avery Bradley, and Marcus Smart, Beal got himself more engaged in the action early on. Watch for him to be aggressive Wednesday night, especially in the first half as he looks to build from his Game 4 success.

    Why’s the Boston money line potentially the safest pick? Washington somehow kept Isaiah Thomas off the free throw line. That’s not going to happen in back-to-back games, especially with Game 5 in Boston.

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