2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket West Region Predictions

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2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Analysis: West Region Predictions

Gonzaga is a no. 1 seed for good reason, with a 30-3 record on the season, but the Bulldogs are coming off an awful outing against Saint Mary's in the WCC Tournament Final, where Saint Mary's recorded a double-digit victory over a team that went 16-0 in conference. Still, AccuScore is giving Gonzaga and Rui Hachimura the benefit of the doubt that they'll shake off the stunning defeat and absolutely wax their first two games, with Fairleigh and Baylor combining for a 16% chance of knocking out the Bulldogs before the Sweet 16. Notably, though, AccuScore is picking Baylor to upset Syracuse by the slightest of edges in the opening round.

Marquette and Murray State is a close matchup, but the computer is picking Marquette to advance before falling to Florida State, after the Seminoles bulldoze Vermont. Unfortunately, Gonzaga is waiting for Florida State to start the second week of the tournament.

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No. 2 Michigan should make easy work of Montana, with the computer giving Nevada the edge over Florida. However, a 59% edge for Michigan over Nevada isn't overwhelming, but the Wolverines are expected to make it to the Sweet 16, where they'll meet Texas Tech.

Buffalo and Arizona State has the other best odds for an early upset in this region, with Arizona State losing out 48% to 52% to Buffalo despite the Sun Devils holding a no. 11 seed. Either way, Texas Tech is projected to make quick work of the winner of those two to advance to the second week of tournament play.

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Gonzaga is a clear favorite at 67% to advance past Florida State, while Michigan 53% over Texas Tech is far less convincing. AccuScore projects Gonzaga to advance past the Wolverines in the Elite 8 and make the Final Four, with Gonzaga holding the second best odds of any team in the tournament to win it all, according to AccuScore. Gonzaga has a 22.8% chance to advance to the national title game and a 13.9% chance of winning the entire tournament, which only trails Virginia's 16.6% odds.

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Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
South Region
East Region
Midwest Region

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March Madness is tipping off, Selection Sunday has passed, and now, it's all about which teams will survive and move on and which teams will be sent home early from the big dance. This is the best time of the year whether you're a college basketball hoops head or not because the madness takes over every sports fan's life. You can't ignore it, and AccuScore provides the perfect analysis to build out your bracket whether you're an NCAA basketball expert or a complete novice trying to take home some extra cash in your office pool. After every round, AccuScore will update the bracket and probabilities. As always, our super computer has simulated out every game 10,000 times to come up with odds for every team. Of course, AccuScore also has game picks against the spread and totals on every matchup, so be sure to check out AccuScore's college basketball game picks all month long.

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NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2018 - South Region

Written by AccuScore Staff
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2018 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: South Region

In AccuScore's eyes, the South region features the two most likely winners of the national championship in no. 1 overall seed Virginia and no. 2 seed Cincinnati. Virginia is a 92% favorite to reach the 2nd round and projects to put down Creighton with 86% likelihood, which is pretty dominant. Then, a probable matchup against Kentucky, assuming Davidson or Arizona don't upset Kentucky, allows Virginia safe passage to the Elite 8. Meanwhile, Cincy expects to make quick work of Georgia State and Nevada before beating Tennessee 57% to 43% in simulations. In the Elite 8, it's a coinflip matchup with Virginia winning 48% of simulations and Cincinnati winning 52% of head-to-head matchups to win the South and advance.

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This is a bit off, of course, because in terms of raw probabilities, Virginia is AccuScore's most likely national champion with 10.84% probability to win it all. Unfortunately for Virginia, Cincinnati is the second most-likely team to lead into "One Shining Moment" with a 10.55% chance of winning it all. So, ultimately, AccuScore says the champion will most likely come out of the South. Part of why Virginia has a slightly higher probability than Cincy to win it all is that Virginia is favored more heavily in the first couple rounds. As such, Virginia's odds of making the Elite 8 are 53.25% versus Cincy's odds of making the Elite 8 at 47.58%. From that point forward, Cincy is the stronger team and gains ground on Virginia until the odds of winning the tournament for the two teams are separated by about 0.3%.

Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
West Region
MidWest Region
East Region