Jaguars vs Texans: Analyst Pick - NFL Week 1

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NFL Week 1 Analyst Pick: Jaguars vs Texans

Despite the craziness of Hurricane Harvey, this Sunday's matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans is still scheduled to be played. The Texans head into their Week 1 matchup as 5.5-point favorites with the total set at 39.5.

All ofAccuScore’s Week 1 NFL Expert Picks

Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Sim Data

The Texans opened as 4.5-point favorites, moving to 5.5 on Friday. AccuScore simulations, however, have the line at just 3, indicating a pick on the Jags to cover.

The Jaguars cover a 5.5-point spread in about 61 percent of simulations, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. Most books in Vegas are offering Jacksonville +5.5 at -110, indicating about a 52 percent chance of happening.

The Jags are getting +210 on the money line, indicating about a 32 percent chance of happening. Jacksonville wins 46 percent of sims. AccuScore data would have listed their money line odds at about +115 to +120, offering a whole lot of value on the +210.

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What to Watch For

Blake Bortles is projected to start for the Jags and that's actually a fairly important variable in projecting a more competitive matchup than do Vegas odds. He struggled overall with turnovers last season, but had an above-average performance against Houston. In two matchups, he fnished with 357 total yards and 2 TDs and 2 INTs.

Bortles is projected to to finish with 199 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT and a passer rating of 95.2.

Key Betting Trend

The Jaguars are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five road games vs the Texans.

Analyst's Pick

The Jaguars are 1-9 straight up (SU) in their last 10 road games. They're also 5-5 ATS in those same games. We'll take the Jags to cover late.

Top Baseball Betting Trends - June 2017

Written by AccuScore Staff
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Top Baseball Trends: June 14, 2017

The NBA season is over. The NHL season is over. Football may be here in the blink of an eye, but the dog days of summer provide the opportunity to play long trends and focus on Major League Baseball. AccuScore pointed out some rather glaring trends at the end of May.

At the time, we pointed out two top trends: one for Side Value Picks and one for Moneyline picks.

First, Side Value Picks when the home team was between 45% and 55% to win were +1,533 units profit at the end of May. A couple weeks later, that same trend is now + 2598 units profit, nearly 70% increase in profits.

Second, Moneyline picks where the home team was favored between 45% and 55% were +1,177 units profit. A couple weeks later, that same trend is now +2055 units profit, which is an increase of nearly 75%. We pointed to two major trends we saw as profitable and then told everyone who would listen about them. We can only do so much.

Tonight's MLB Picks: There are a couple games on tonight's schedule that fall into the aforementioned categories, which means these trends apply tonight: Click Here for All of today's MLB Picks

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Here are a few NEW Scorching Hot Trends...

Top Baseball Trends: June 2017

Vegas Home Favorite: AccuScore Moneyline picks - 380-265, 58.9% +2,399
Vegas Home Underdog: AccuScore Side Value Picks – 146-146, 50% +794
Vegas O/U Line is 11+: AccuScore Totals Picks – 14-6-2, 70% +740

Top Baseball Team Trends:

Baltimore Orioles: 21-2, 91.3% +1,483 on all moneyline picks when Vegas lists the Orioles as a road underdog. (This trend was +1,117 in May’s Top Trends)

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