World Cup Quarterfinals: Guru’s Top Picks

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Loser (-100) 1. France vs Germany: Over 2 and 2.5 Goals at 2.040

Over and Under picks are meant to be a coin flip, and this game is no different. However, bookmakers, analysts and fans have been overtaken by the narrative of this World Cup tightening up in the Round of 16. Yes, it was true that the Round of 16 had a sharp drop off in goals, but Germany and France are two of the more dynamic attacking sides. France, in particular, can be dangerously sharp. Germany’s Manuel Neuer may be the best sweeper in football, but France’s buildup is not like Algeria’s. Betting on two attacking sides to put up over 2.5 goals is a good bet when it pays better than even money…also, the AccuScore computer has these teams combining for the Over 54% of the time.

WINNER (+114) 2. Argentina vs Belgium: Argentina at 2.140

Both these sides have incredible amounts of talent, and both these sides have a habit of not finishing the job until late in the game. However, Argentina is a veteran team with the best player in the game, if not the world. Belgium is a team of talented youngsters that hold promise, but likely will not fully mature until four years’ time. AccuScore says Messi’s Argentina has a 51.0% chance of winning in 90 minutes despite not exactly convincing to this point in the tournament. The oddsmakers put that number at 45.8%, so there is significant value according to the computer. At better than even odds, there is value on this pick.

History...

After sending a carrier pigeon and praying for years, our AccuScore Soccer Guru reemerged from hibernation in the mountains. Lucky for us, he was watching every European and international game for the past two years, so he didn’t take even one moment to start picking winners.

Always cautious about wildly putting money down early in a tournament, our guru waited until the final round of group play to identify the best value bets. His system involves picking based on getting at least even returns and using the AccuScore computer’s data as compared to the popular lines.

Before we get into his picks for the World Cup quarterfinals (he has two picks for this round…members, log in now to see picks!) let’s take a look at what he’s picked to this point and why.

In the final round of the group stages, his only losing pick was Croatia to beat Mexico, but he felt Croatia paying 2.75 for every euro/dollar wagered had value. The two winners he picked were Costa Rica and the draw against England on a split bet and Bosnia-Herzegovina to collect the first win in that nation’s history. At that point, he was up +203 in profit!

In the Round of 16 , he took the slightly better than even money bet of Colombia over Uruguay, and we all know that was a comfortable winner. The second bet he took was Costa Rica to beat Greece, and well, let’s just say a red card and a 91st minute goal by Greece gave our Guru nightmares. He’s one to always say that bets become completely unpredictable once a red card is introduced into the equation, but we still believe he had the right pick/team even if it didn’t pay off.

So, now, he’s got 2 more picks for the Quarterfinals…Not a member? Join now using the special code Quarters and get 25% off a monthly membership. With expert picks for every sport, AccuScore is a necessary tool in every bettor’s arsenal. Become an AccuScore member TODAY!