Written by Pete Käenmäki

Fiorentina vs. Internazionale – Rossi and Gomez Injury Impact

6th round of Serie A kicks off on Saturday. Fiorentina will host Milanese Internazionale on Sunday and will miss another regular opener Mario Gomez. During pre-season Fiorentina’s most valuable offensive player Giuseppe Rossi underwent another knee operation and could be sidelined up to five months. This is a major loss for Viola as Khouma Babacar is their only fit center forward in the squad, but how big of an influence these absences actually have? Let Accuscore’s simulation engine tell us as we here at Accuscore can use statistical models to estimate the true impact of both players.

AccuScore has the best betting picksfor every match in Italy: Top Serie A Betting Picks

Fiorentina – without Rossi and Gomez

After 10,000 simulations Accuscore’s computer tells us that without Rossi and Gomez Fiorentina are slight underdogs at home soil. Their probability to win the match is 32.1 percent. Viola would average 1.28 goals on Saturday.

Fiorentina – with Rossi and Gomez

Now what would be the situation if the key strikers could be able to play after all? Let the simulations roll and decide. With Rossi and Gomez Fiorentina would do much better and win the match with a probability of 50 percent! They would also average 1.86 goals, which is a good 0.58 goals more than without the influential pair.

In conclusion, Fiorentina are very unlucky to have these two and especially Rossi sidelined at the moment. The impact is actually big, bigger than one could even imagine. It remains to see if Viola’s hopes for entering European cup competitions next season would crash due to Rossi being sidelined until January.


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