Euro 2012 Semifinals - Odds Analysis
If you’re not an AccuScore member, sign up using the special coupon code “euro2012” and get 30% OFF an annual membership. This access will give you computer analysis, individual goal scoring probabilities, and computer picks for every Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, and Bundesliga match. Also, it will give you expert picks for the knock out rounds of the UEFA Champions League. Even better you’ll get our computer’s picks for the Euro 2012 semi-final and the Final. So, Join now, because this offer expires when Euro 2012 ends, this Sunday.
AccuScore Projecting Euro 2012 Value on Germany, Italy and Portugal
AccuScore’s Euro 2012 odds versus Vegas Odds
AccuScore is projecting value on picking Germany, Italy, and Portugal given the current public odds, but Spain is a bad bet according to the computer. Okay, a -4% value is not exactly a ‘bad’ bet, but it is not a good bet, according to the computer. In analyzing the Euro 2012 futures before the start of the semi-finals, AccuScore says Italy offers the most value to win the competition.
Yes, the Spaniards have won the last two major international competitions, but the computer is not convinced that Vincente Del Bosque’s men are good enough to beat Joachim Low’s Germany. Why should you listen to the computer? Well, apart from correctly picking all 4 semi-finalists, picking the right two teams to advance out of the group of death, and picking Germany correctly in every match this tournament, the computer has a certain track record (see below):
4 out of 5 Leagues profitable
In 4 of the 5 leagues the AccuScore computer picked last season, the computer right more than wrong and most importantly, profitable. In the Champions League, the computer was remarkably accurate all along the way. One of the 4 incorrect picks was the final, and few people who watched that match would argue Chelsea was the better side.
La Liga was only blip; nobody’s perfect
Okay, La Liga did not have a great season, but being 47.5% when there are 3 possible results in every match is still impressive, and the Champions League, when it really matters, was AccuScore's most successful league last season.