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Oct 02
2007
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Upsets Could Make the Losing Teams HappyPosted by Zach in Zach Rosenfield, West Virginia, Texas, South Florida, Oklahoma, Ohio State, LSU, Florida |
Saturday was an exciting day in college football, chock-full of upsets and text messages saying "did you see that!" The dust has finally settled and what is clear to me is "Shakedown Saturday" didn't really shake up anything. Although Oklahoma, Florida, West Virginia and Texas lost, only the Mountaineers and Longhorns were virtually eliminated from the BCS Title hunt with the Sooners and Gators still very much alive.
Hear me out before you accuse me of being drunk. The fallout from this past Saturday puts California, South Florida, Boston College and Kentuckyinto the spotlight and has underdogs throughout the country saying "this is our year!" Savor the flavor "Rudy" because a closer look reveals a choppy horizon full of crushed dreams.
Florida and Oklahoma currently sit #9 and #10 respectively with an ideal scenario setting up for these one loss teams, with the Gators sitting pretty. Florida travels to Baton Rouge this weekend to play #2 LSU and then to #8 Kentucky in two weeks. If the Gators can take a bite out of the Tigers and Wildcats, they most certainly jump the underproven and overachieving teams in front of them.
On the other hand, Oklahoma has one week to right the ship after last week's collapse in Colorado. OU rebounds with the opportunity to flex their muscles in the Red River Rivalry this weekend against Texas and then host Big 12 North favorite Missouri. Assuming that the Sooners are more like the team that beat Miami than the one that lost to Colorado, the Sooners could finish October with an 8-1 overall record, placing them at the front of the line as high ranked teams absorb their first loss.
And the overwhelming majority teams ahead of Florida and Oklahoma will lose. I have already detailed the round robin between Florida, LSU and Kentucky and similar situations set up in the Pac 10 and Big 10. #1 USC travels to #3 California in an elimination game on November 10th where the loser could be taking their first loss a little too late in the season to recover.
#4 Ohio State and #5 Wisconsin have been underwhelming in their rise in the polls and one team will fall by the wayside when they meet in Columbus on November 3rd. The winner will still have to get by Michigan in the Big House and then find a way to sustain their beauty amongst teams with flashier credentials.
It is not out of the question that South Florida can keep on winning and beat Cincinnati, Rutgers and Louisville, but I am not seeing it. The Bulls have been college football's best story, but the clock will strike midnight on Cinderella. South Florida have proven that winning teams find a way to win, but I don't think they can routinely create five turnover performances from their opponents as they did against Auburn and West Virginia.
So where does this leave us? Well, I am not sure. September 28th was like the opening round of the NCAA Basketball Tournament; it got us talking but had little effect on who will win it all. If Oklahoma is the good team I thought they were, they will be the one-loss team playing in the BCS Title game against the undefeated winner of the Pac 10 or SEC.
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PhillySooner
said:
| I prefer this type of analysis! The kind where the good guys win and not the Macbeth scenario you proffered earlier this year! Insightful and completely in line with my reasoning and beliefs...just the way I like my scholars! |

