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Sep 14
2007

System Review: 2005 Week 2 Analyzation

Posted by twilliams in Tim WilliamsScorpions NFL SystemScorpionNFL SystemNFL

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To get a good idea of the history behind my NFL system, I am back tracking and calculating week two of the 2003-2006 seasons, in hopes of finding some solid trends to use.  Below is the data for week two of the 2005 season, using the week one data.

DET vs CHI:  DET 7-0-1
Spread:  DET -1
Winner:  CHI

NE vs CAR:  NE 7-1
Spread:  NE -3
Winner:  CAR

STL vs ARI:  STL 6-1-1
Spread:  STL -1.5
Winner:  STL

MIA vs NYJ:  MIA 5-0-3
Spread:  NYJ -5
Winner:  NYJ

PIT vs HOU:  PIT 7-1
Spread:  PIT -5
Winner:  PIT

MIN vs CIN:  CIN 7-0-1
Spread:  CIN -3
Winner:  CIN

ATL vs SEA:  ATL 5-2-1
Spread:  SEA -1.5
Winner:  SEA

KC vs OAK:  KC 5-0-3
Spread:  PICK
Winner:  KC

JAC vs IND:  JAC 4-2-2
Spread:  IND -9
Winner:  JAC

SF vs PHI:  SF 5-2-1
Spread:  PHI -13
Winner:  PHI

SD vs DEN:  SD 5-2-1
Spread:  DEN -3
Winner:  PUSH

NYG vs NO:  NYG 4-3-1
Spread:  NYG -3.5
Winner:  NYG

BAL vs TEN:  BAL 3-2-3
Spread:  BAL -3.5
Winner:  TEN

BUF vs TB:  BUF 5-2-1
Spread:  TB -2.5
Winner:  TB

CLE vs GB:  GB 3-3-2
Spread:  GB -6
Winner:  CLE

WAS vs DAL:  WAS 4-3-1
Spread:  DAL -5.5
Winner:  WAS

The following numbers are the trends that we find here:

7-0-1:  1-1 when taking the 7-0-1 teams.  1-1 when taking favorites.
7-1:  1-1 when taking the 7-1 teams.  1-1 on favorites.
6-1-1:  1-0 when taking the 6-1-1 teams.  1-0 on favorites.
5-0-3:  1-1 when taking the 5-0-3 teams.  1-0 on favorites.  One spread was a pick.
5-2-1:  0-3-1 when taking the 5-2-1 teams.  3-0-1 when taking favorites.
4-2-2:  1-0 when taking 4-2-2 team.  1-0 on underdogs.
4-3-1:  2-0 when taking 4-3-1 teams.  1-1 on favorites.
3-2-3:  0-1 when taking the 3-2-3 team.  1-0 on underdogs.
3-3-2:  1-0 on underdogs.

Interesting Notes:  Favorites went 8-6-1 this week.  One spread had no line and doesn't count in these results.  Favorites with a spread over a touchdown went 1-1.

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