The NCAA system is still in development, but so far things have gone well.  The first week I used the system was in week 3.  I had two trends that I thought would do well, and the total combined record for that week was 16-10.  Last week, after some analyzation of the system, I found a few more trends, coming up with 35 plays.  Now I know this is a lot of plays for one week, but I don't really expect anyone is betting on this, so I posted them all for tracking purposes.  Last week went 20-15 between 5 different trends that I was tracking.  The different trendswent: 1-3, 7-4, 4-3, 5-5, and 3-0.

This week I have five trends to track.  The first trend is the one that went 7-4 last week.  To date, this trend is 15-7-2, for a 68% win rate.  The theory in this is that the favorites and underdogs are ranked close together, so it is best to take the underdogs.  This week we have the following plays:

Memphis +4.5 (Thurs)
South Florida +7.5 (Fri)
UNLV +3.5
California +6
East Carolina +10.5
UNC +18
Iowa State +21
Florida International +12.5
Northwestern +17
Florida Atlantic +22
Buffalo +16.5
ULM +13.5
Mississippi +15
Eastern Michigan +20.5
Georgia Tech +3
Illinois +3

I will say that out of these plays, the riskier ones are:  UNLV, Buffalo, ULM, Mississippi, Eastern Michigan, Georgia Tech, and Illinois.

The next trend went 4-3 last week, but is 13-6 overall.  This trend picks favorites who are ranked better than their opponents, but not to the point where it is overly obvious.  The picks this week:

Boise State -11 (Thurs)
UCF -21.5
Texas -14.5
Syracuse -1.5
Utah -20.5
Miami -24.5
USC -21
Hawaii -25.5
Rutgers -17
Louisville -9.5

Once again, there are some plays that are a bit riskier here, those being:  UCF, Boise State, Louisville.

The third group is the group of "obvious" favorites.  This group went 5-5 last week, and they are 10-7 on the year.  Part of the reason I am including the "risky plays" is because this group would have gone 5-3 last week if I took out two risky plays.  This week the plays are:

Auburn +18.5
Akron +14
San Diego State +14
North Texas +36
Minnesota +24
Stanford +14
Colorado +23

The risky plays here are:  Auburn, Akron, Colorado

The fourth group went 3-0 last week, and is 5-1 overall.  These are the "mega-favorites."  The picks this week are:

Purdue -22
LSU -40.5

The final group is a group of underdogs on the moneyline, mainly taken from group one.  The record for these teams on the moneyline is 7-7 to date, which is a profit since you are getting a better payout.  This week the bets are:

Memphis +170 (Thurs)
South Florida +230 (Fri)
California +195

Remember, I'm mainly doing this for tracking purposes, and to give you some proof of the system, so I don't just come out and say "I've got a new system that went 36-25 the last two weeks."  I don't think there would be any trust issues, but this is a good way of avoiding all of that.  Personally I will be taking the plays that aren't on the "risky" list.  If you take any picks, you're taking them at your own risk, knowing that the system is still in the developmental stages.  That being said, good luck to all!