Blog Entries tagged 'NFL'

Stephen A. Smith Meltdown on ESPN over Brett Favre Comeback

RedBaron

The Sports Baron

Stephen A. Smith is over the whole Brett Favre "love affair" in the media. In an ESPN interview over the weekend Stephen A. throws out his standard lines like "this is uttery ridiculous" and he is "sick to his stomach" about The World Wide Leader's infatuation with Favre. He s [...]

Favre could return, do the Packers want him?

twilliams

When Brett Favre announced his retirement, I wrote this :

"A few days ago Favre was lobbying for the Packers to get Moss. Right after Moss signs with the Patriots, Favre announces he is retiring. If he is not retiring because of Moss, then why is the timing so convienent, and why was he on board with improving the 2008 Packers a few days ago? Personally I feel this decision was made based on emotion, and I don't think Favre is done for good. This Packers team is a team that [...]

Super Bowl Prop Bets

twilliams

Disclaimer: When I bet player props, I usually just lay 1% on each bet. My book offered over 150 props, and I cut it down to 25, but I'm not sure if I want to cut it down further. I usually bet 5% per football game, so these props equal about five bets, which I am comfortable with. I'll try to include some insight to these so you can decide if you agree or disagree, allowing you to trim down the options if you want fewer plays.

Tom Brady Props:

Tom [...]

A Super Bowl XLII Lock and a Few Beer Commercials (Video)

FFGoat

I think that you and I can agree that one of the greatest things about the Super Bowl - other then football and Tom Petty at half - is the beer and commercials. So rather than just give you my Super Bowl prediction this week I figured I would dish out a few beer commercials for your enjoyment as well.

The Lock
I have been having a pretty decent post season, if I do say so myself. I am 7-3 coming into this week and I am looking at winning my eighth so let lets get to it.

I [...]

NFL System: Super Bowl

twilliams

NEW ENGLAND (-12) vs NY GIANTS: NEW ENGLAND 6-2

It only seems fitting that I write this while I run my franchise on Madden. You see, I don't really play the games in Madden, I just simulate them all, act as the GM of the team, and try to build a dynasty. Eventually things get to the point where my team is a guarantee to make it to the Super Bowl, and I shoot for bigger things like an undefeated season. When it comes to the point where my team goes undefeated [...]

T minus 6 until the Super Bowl

fflibrarian

This week the Super Bowl madness begins. I think right now we're probably all jealous of those who are already in Glendale or are en route to Glendale. I know I'd probably sacrifice something ridiculously crucial like my right hand to have the chance to experience Super Bowl week. Okay, maybe my left hand. But let's dive into some football links here...

As if anyone actually thought that Brady wouldn't play in the Super Bowl - he has confirmed that he will be good to go on [...]

NFL System: Conference Playoff Projections

twilliams

In my opinion, last weekend was one of the best playoff weekends in recent history. You had the snow in Green Bay, a relatively close game in New England, then two upsets on Sunday. The best part is that we are left with four teams who I would accept in the finals. There are no 8-8 teams that bring up the complaints of "Should an 8-8 team be considered the champions?" There are no teams that just got hot the last few weeks of the season and barely made it in [...]

Sports Betting Gone Bad

FanProphet

I know in some of my previous posts I’ve mentioned that I don’t bet on sports and I never plan to bet on sports again. It has been nine years (1999) since the last time I made a wager on a professional or any other type of sporting event and I plan to keep it that way. To be honest, I’m no good at picking these games against the line. It seems as though when I don’t place a wager I’m dead-on and when I have placed wagers in the past I couldn’t hit a game if [...]

NFL System: Divisional Playoff Projections

twilliams

The system was very successful last year in the divisional round of the playoffs. I remember because I was in Australia at the time. The hotel I was staying at had a sportsbook, which wasn't uncommon, as there were sportsbooks on every street corner. I won almost every bet, including small prop bets like "First score will be a field goal" and "Team X to win by X points" bets. The end result was that the hotel had to dig in to their own safe to p [...]

NFL System: Wild Card Projections

twilliams

I will have more on these games in a later article. For now, here are some quick thoughts on the wild card games.

WASHINGTON @ SEATTLE (-3.5): WASHINGTON 5-3

I think the key to this game will be how Seattle does with the run on both sides of the ball. If they can stop Clinton Portis they will have an easier time with the Redskins offense. However, they need a solid effort from their running game, which has been off and on all season. I think this game will b [...]

NFL System: Week 17 Projections

twilliams

I find the whole concept of "handicapping" amusing, especially in regards to the NFL. I've never really cared about being a good "handicapper". Sure, my system has worked out pretty well, but that was one time research. The benefit of my system is that I don't have to sit and break down all of the games each week. I can just plug the stats in to the spread sheet, and 30 minutes later I've got a pick. I've said this before, I am [...]

NFL System: Monday Night Game

twilliams

DENVER @ SAN DIEGO (-8.5): SAN DIEGO 7-1

The roles for these two teams are pretty much defined. Denver's season is over. They have one of the worst rushing defenses in the league. They allow one of the highest point totals in the league. San Diego is currently in the number three seed, with no chance of going up, but a risk of falling back. LaDanian Tomlinson is one of the best running backs in the league, and is on fire coming in to this game, running [...]

NFL System: Week 16 Projections

twilliams

It was Christmas time last year that the system had an amazing week. Being lazy at the moment I am going to say it was like 14-2, because I don't want to sort through the thread to confirm this. I was hoping for a week full of 6-2 and 5-3 games, since those are winning at a combined 67% rate. However, this week is full of 7-1 and 8-0 games, which did well last season when betting against the 8-0 teams, but is doing better this season when betting on the system picks. It's going to [...]

NFL System: Week 15 Projections

twilliams

I was driving home from work last night, listening to the Bobby Petrino press conference. I was a little surprised to see that he had taken the Arkansas position, but it wasn't a total shocker. The total shocker was listening to callers and e-mailers blasting Petrino for leaving Atlanta so suddenly, not even completing a year.

I am here to support you, Bobby Petrino.

First of all, the NFL coaching position is flat out grueling. NFL coaches have more games to [...]

NFL System Power Rankings

twilliams

My NFL system is a good method for determining the winner of games, as well as what team will cover the spread. It can also be used as a power ranking system, which is something that I do every week. I take in to consideration the following categories:

-Interceptions thrown
-Sacks Allowed
-Time of Possession
-3rd Down Percentage on offense and defense (non-system stats)
-Net points
-Turnover ratio
-Net Rushing yards

The end result looks pretty close [...]

NFL System: Week 14 Projections

twilliams

A few years ago I was a different type of fan. I've always been a Steelers fan, but I'm not as serious anymore. Sure, I like when the Steelers win, and I'm disappointed when they lose, but only to a certain extent. I used to be brought to tears when the Steelers lost in the playoffs. If they won a game, it would make my week. If they lost, Monday and Tuesday would be dark days. I knew their schedule, knew their entire roster, long snapper includ [...]

NFL System: Week 13 Projections

twilliams

Tonight is probably the most important game in the NFC. I know, you've heard that tons of times, and for obvious reasons it is true. However, I have a reason that not many people are talking about. This game could determine who goes to the Super Bowl from the NFC.

These two teams are the class of the NFC. There is no one else who compares to them, or who can be placed on their level. It would be a shocker to see one of these teams go down before the NFC [...]

NFL System: Week 12 Projections

twilliams

I remember last Thanksgiving as the point where I really started believing in my system. I had no doubts at all about any of the picks, and even went heavier on the 8-0 picks, knowing that they were obviously the strongest ones.

This year the system has been a little rough, and has left me in doubt. However, there are some strong picks, just not the 8-0 or 7-1 picks. Here are the system observations from week 7 on:

-The 5-3 picks are 10-4. Last week they went 4-0.

-The 6 [...]

NFL System: Week 11 Projections

twilliams

After much delay, I finally have this week's projections. After last week's horrible performance I was in no rush to look at my system. Week 8 and week 9 were an encouraging 8-5 and 8-6 respectively, but last week's 4-9-1 performance was horrible. This inspired me to get a database together of the system this year. I only have week 7 on for now, but I will be consolidating the files and getting the whole season by Monday. Here are the results for the [...]

NFL System: Week 10 Projections

twilliams

I've been pretty busy this week with a mixture of fantasy columns, work, and just plain procrastination, which is why this article is coming out so late in the week. I invite you to check out my fantasy articles, located on the fantasy section of this site. The waiver wire article has also been placed on AOL the past two weeks. I even got my first "hate comment" this week, which is pretty exciting. I don't think I would respond on AOL, but this is my [...]