I posted this in the wrong forum. Forgive the multiple post.

A few years back, I started taking my betting seriously, and was putting at least 10 hours a week into research before making my picks. I understand the money management side of "sports investing", and was a profitable football sports investor.

Back then, I had a job that would allow me to do that...night shift at a hospital. Now I have so busy in a sales job that flies me all over the country; I don't have the time to do ALL that research. I still do some, but my handicapping has suffered due to the lack of attention and diligence. I am thinking, and hoping, I can use Accuscore to substitute some of the time consuming research I do and help me make my pick effeciently. If this is the case, Accuscore would definitely be worth the price.

ILooking around, I have one immediate question, what % do you consider a strong play. Is 65% good? I understand that 80% would be better.

I also understand that this isn't the only thing you would look at to determine your picks. However, I am a very analytical sports investor, look at a lot of numbers and make a few calculations, but is there a rule of thumb you users use when cross referencing your picks.

Thanks in advance,

toni

Toni -

Good questions and I hope that the community chimes in. As it relates to the %'s, it really does vary sport by sport. What I would recommend is taking a look at each daily line report, print one out and take it with you on a plane to read it and get an understanding. That way, when you hit AccuScore for the reseach you need, you can get it quickly.

The best way we have seen is to use the live betting predictions to outline games where there is an edge, some will have more of an edge and some will have less. Also, sports score differently, so you will see more 60+ % in the NBA than you might in other sports becuase of the fact that 3 points in the NBA can mean one shot where as 3 points in the NFL is a field goal, harder to come by.

Then use the DLR to cross reference where accuscore has been accurate in the simualtion engine. The DLR tracks accuscores accuracy so that you can decide to play, fade, or sit out of action. If you need custom lines, then the points spread and overunder tools give you that functionality.

Prop bets have done very well overall so the pro player analyzer should be the tool for you there.

Good luck and community, please chime in with your thougths.

ACS

As the previous poster said it varies by sport, but it also varies by bet.

For NBA and CBB there are typically three bets: Against the spread, over/under, and money line.

For against the spread and over/under, you have to win 52.4% of your bets to break even. So anything above that would give you an advantage. But you would want more than that. In the NBA and CBB there are rarely any ATS or O/U percentages that are above 60% (maybe 2 or 3 per day), and there are almost never any above 65%. I would start to consider anything above 56% or 57%.

I have not really studied this that closely for NFL or CFF.

But I have been keeping track of what if you played every game over 55% or over 56%. You can be successful if you start to consider games above those points.