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My picks for this weekend (1 viewing)
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TOPIC: My picks for this weekend
#70821
Goldfinger (User)
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Re:My picks for this weekend 2007/11/09 21:20  
Well, last week was a stinker (again).

LW: 3-6
YTD: 46-41-2 53%

On to this week's selections:

Eastern Mich +3.5
Cincy -6.5
SMU -6
Georgia -2
Nebraska +7.5
Cal +4.5
Arkansas St +7

Additional Games:

Vandy +3.5
Colorado St +9
UCLA +6.5
Marshall +7
Maryland +6.5
South Carolina +7.5

I have noticed the system does horrible on games where the public is heavily betting the side that Accuscore picks. The "Additional Games" represent those picks. FWIW, those-type picks went 3-6 last week alone (so fading the picks would have gone 6-3). Not quite as many this week. I will start tracking the fade picks separately.

Good luck to all.
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#70830
Goldfinger (User)
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Re:My picks for this weekend 2007/11/14 02:20  
Last week's results:

Regular picks 4-3 (forgot to post Air Force as well, my fault)
YTD: 50-44-2 53%

Fade picks 4-2

Might be a trend here. We'll keep tracking them.

As for tonight's action, I love Ball St. I know the public is betting them, but the money spread is only around 65% (rather than the 70% or more than I require for the fade picks).

Take Ball St -6.5 tonight. More to come later in the week.
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#70841
Goldfinger (User)
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Re:My picks for this weekend 2007/11/16 20:22  
Ball St cashed, making the regular picks 51-44-2 overall. On to this weekend:

Regular picks:

Cincy +6.5
Buffalo Pk
Duke +6
Florida St -7
New Mexico +14
Wake Forest -6.5
UTEP +3

Fade picks:

Eastern Mich +13
Indiana +2
SMU +13
Washington +7
Minnesota +14
Florida International +4.5

I never, in a million years, ever thought I would be recommending a play on Florida Int'l. Their program has been very bad for quite a while. But when you look at the game matchup more closely, what you see is a very bad Lafayette team traveling to a Florida Int'l team that has hosted 2 teams this year - Maryland and Troy. Both are pretty darn good, and Int'l was not really blown out in either game. I actually like the pick.

Good luck to everyone this weekend.
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#70849
Goldfinger (User)
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Re:My picks for this weekend 2007/11/21 19:16  
Week 12 Results:

Reg picks: 3-4
Fade picks: 4-2

YTD Reg: 53-47-2 53%
YTD Fade: 8-4 67%

Early week selections:

Regular:

Arizona St +3
Nebraska +4
Arkansas +12

Fade:

Akron +2.5

More to come for the Saturday games. Looks like there will be a couple really good ones that would fit the fade category.
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#70851
Goldfinger (User)
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Re:My picks for this weekend 2007/11/23 23:33  
Late Friday pick:

Boise St +3

Saturday picks:

Kansas -2
Stanford -5
TCU -12.5

All of those are VERY strong plays.
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#70861
Goldfinger (User)
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Re:My picks for this weekend 2007/12/01 05:15  
Coming off a ridiculously bad 0-4 performance, I'm ready to fade the system this week. Here we go with those fade picks:

Stanford +13.5
Arizona St -7
Washington +14
FL Atl +16
FL Int +2.5
Mia OH +3

And just a "gut call" pick - Missouri +3. Accuscore has the line matching the predicted score. People seem to forget that Washington beat Boise St fairly handily early on in the year, so getting 14 in Hawaii when a team they already beat easily lost by less at Hawaii makes no sense to me.
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