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my first system, can use some help (1 viewing)
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TOPIC: my first system, can use some help
#65799
jacob_garrett (User)
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my first system, can use some help 2007/03/01 16:39  
my first system, can use some help
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#65800
jacob_garrett (User)
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my first system, can use some help 2007/03/01 16:39  
hey guys i have been a member for a few months and have enjoyed following all of your posts...... i would like to thank ssmallwood gthf scorp marckkery (or however you spell its) and nhlpanthers ,i have followed all of your picks and appreciate you helping newcomers to sportsbetting like me. I have been playing with numbers and regretably i am a free member here so i cant access the DLR but have devised a little system from stats from various websites..... once put in my formula i get what i call a differential score....the higher the better..... for a certain team the help i am asking for, is i know you veterens are experts at looking at numbers and i would like to see if you guys spott a trend based on my differential score to the spread.... this system is very new so the amount of game i have tried it on is limited..... as of now i wont be betting these games but i figured if it looks good, and you guys figure out some trend we can all profit and its always good to monitor your progress so here we go........
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#65801
jacob_garrett (User)
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2007/03/01 16:47  
here are the results of the formula for last nights games that fit the whole process


Vanderbelt v SC Diff score 1305 in favor of Vandy
results Vandy Wins 99-90 correct

Villinova v Conn. Diff Score 274 winner Villinova
results 78-74 Nova Wins correct

Duke v Maryland Diff Score 49 winner duke
results 85-77 Maryland wins incorrect

Tex am v Texas Diff 55 Tex wins
results 98-96 Texas wins correct

NC STATE v Wake forest Diff 715 NCSU wins
results 73-66 NCSU wins correct

Cinnci v Seaton Hall diff 468 seaton hall wins
results 70-67 Cinncin wins incorrect
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#65802
jacob_garrett (User)
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2007/03/01 17:17  
tonights plays

VT v Virginia Diff 415 in favor of virginia tech

NC v Georgia Tech Diff 661 in favor of NC

Nevada v Utah State Diff 1172 in favor of Nevada

Memphis v Utep Diff 1275 in favor of memphis

USC v Washington diff 389 in favor of USC

Ucla v Wash State Diff 255 in favor of ucla


again this system is in the works, once i get some more games under the belt i can look at different numbers and how they would have fared vs the spread
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#65803
ssmallwood (User)
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2007/03/01 17:27  
Can you give us some clues about the system and how you arrive at the scores? As for college BB I don't know Jack, but maybe we can assist with the actual system part of it.

Best of luck with this, and keep tracking it in this thread. Others will help out where they can I'm certain.
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#65804
jacob_garrett (User)
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2007/03/01 18:12  
my silly system is very basic/easy and i almost regret starting this thread cause i dont know to much about NCaa bball either.... i just figured if it does work i would love to share it with the group and what better way to have it documented so people can look back to see the results........

i take a series of stats for each team, ppg, rebounds, fouls, ect.. about 10-15 things in all and assign each stat a score.... then i tally the scores up for each team... the lower the score the better.......... then i subtract the higher score from the lower score to get the differential(difference) so the higher the differential the better...... once i get more games under my belt i can start to compare the differential against the spread.....for ex say the diff for tongihts game was NC 1200...... i might say every 100 diff points is worth one point against the spread.....but i am not sure about that yet like i said this is new so i am hoping others may see a pattern.

but i was looking and i have some underdogs favored tonight which prob means this system will have a bad night and lose...but i can keep my fingers crossed
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