Quantcast Skip to content
AccuScore Community Forum
Welcome, Guest
Please Login or Register.
Lost Password?
my first system, can use some help (1 viewing)
_GEN_GOTOBOTTOM Post Reply Favoured: 0
TOPIC: my first system, can use some help
#65811
jacob_garrett (User)
Hall of Famer
$msg_posts User Offline Click here to see the profile of this user
2007/03/04 10:11  
thanks GDB....i' sure this whole thing will need some tweaking once i get more games under my belt....

last night of all games straight up was 17-7-1

of the games i said i would bet
Virginia -3 Loss
ucla -3.5 Loss
ohio state -3.5 Win
pittsburgh +1.5 Loss
Illinois +1.5 Loss
syracuse +6.5 Win
Arizona +2 Win
oklahoma +5 Loss
Texas Tech -2 Tie
Hofstra -1 Loss
3-6-1 woohoo but if i stuck with what i originally said of taking only the dogs with +points would have been 2-3 still not great
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#65812
jacob_garrett (User)
Hall of Famer
$msg_posts User Offline Click here to see the profile of this user
2007/03/04 10:45  
ok heres how things are panning out so far.......again i know this is not against the spread so its no big deal but i am trying to break down this system as we go.....also underdog picks are 7-7 witht he points 6-8 straight up

I am breaking down the win loss groups by my differential points

0-250 6-4
251-500 6-5
501-750 3-2-1
751-1000 5-0
1001-1250 2-2
1251-1500 3-1
1500-1750 0-0
1751-2000 2-0
2000+ 1-0
Totals 27-14-1 64.28% wins but its bloated b/c not against the spread
With diff over 750 13-3 81.25%
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#65813
jacob_garrett (User)
Hall of Famer
$msg_posts User Offline Click here to see the profile of this user
2007/03/04 10:54  
also with under dogs picks i said i was 7-7 heres how it breaks down in diff groups

1-250 1-2
251-500 3-4
501-750 2-1
751-1000 0-0
1000+ 1-0

so with a diff of 501 + we are 3-1....its obvious the higher the diff for the underdog the better the win %
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#65814
jacob_garrett (User)
Hall of Famer
$msg_posts User Offline Click here to see the profile of this user
2007/03/04 11:36  
todays picks

florida diff 627
louisville diff 1005
clemson diff 225
creighton diff 268
NC diff 384
Vermont diff 908
Miss st diff 63
virginia commonwealth diff 413
marist diff 180
gonzaga diff 1201
loyola MD diff 280


also anyone know the line on the vermont v. maryland-balt game, i cant find it on my two books?
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#65815
jacob_garrett (User)
Hall of Famer
$msg_posts User Offline Click here to see the profile of this user
2007/03/04 11:46  
ok even though i have three underdog picks lookin back at the stats they are all losing picks in their diff zone (under 50%) the plays i would play looking at all the %s would be

Virginia Commonwealth -1.5
Marist -2

lets keep our fingers crossed
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#65816
jacob_garrett (User)
Hall of Famer
$msg_posts User Offline Click here to see the profile of this user
2007/03/04 14:35  
i doubt anyone is following this but anyways the underdogs for today of the listed picks are clemson, creighton, and loyola MD......the diff score wasnt that high (i bet on em anyways)
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
_GEN_GOTOTOP Post Reply
Powered by FireBoard