I am new to the site and trying to digest everything. After combing forum here is sounds that most people use 55% as a cut off for who to bet on.

I would like to hear how people use AccuScore so I can quicly adapt to the new and powerful information that I am receiving here to my football bets.

Thanks!

Post edited by: The Sports Investor, at: 2008/09/27 22:34

I think using 55% would actually be a mistake, I use about 51 or 52%. One consistency I've seen is that when Accuscore's projections differ from Vegas' projections by a wide margin, Vegas is usually right. I believe in these cases that the SIMs aren't able to take something into account that Vegas is.

I not sure I follow you. What are you calling Vegas projections? Are you implying that the pointspread is a projection. If that is the case, you are looking at the line wrong. All the pointspread is is a number to try to keep the money being wagered balanced on both sides. It has nothing to do with what how vegas believe the game will turn out.

But if you are using it that way and see a correlation, please elaborate more.

Yes I've noticed that too , especially at over and under with point spread doing a little better . ( but not much ) Accuscore is doing great on the money line column this year .
Some times I wonder if Accuscore is giving too much credit or power ranking to the visiting teams this year ? Home teams as whole are doing pretty darn good this year so far after week four. Remember : Keep your head high into a vegas face . Good luck every one.

Post edited by: Lineman, at: 2008/10/22 03:45