The updated trend records:

8-0: 7-4 when fading the 8-0 pick
7-1: 9-9 when fading the 7-1 pick (8-3 when the 7-1 team is favored by 7 or more)
6-2: 12-9
6-1-1: 6-3
5-3: 13-19 (6-3 in the last 3 weeks)
5-2-1: 2-8
4-4: 11-10 when taking the underdog
4-3-1: 12-7 when taking the underdog

I just want to say that the system is best when betting across the board. I usually pay attention to the trends in regards to parlays, as they can help single out the best possible plays each week.

This week's picks:

CIN @ PIT (-11): PIT 6-2
HOU @ CLE (-3): HOU 4-4
BUF (-3) @ KC: KC 4-3-1
NYJ @ TEN (-5): TEN 5-3
NE @ MIA (-1): MIA 6-2
SF @ DAL (-10): DAL 7-1
TB (-7.5) @ DET: TB 7-1
PHI @ BAL (-1): PHI 5-3
CHI (-7.5) @ STL: CHI 8-0
MIN @ JAC (-1): MIN 5-3
CAR @ ATL (-1): ATL 6-2
OAK @ DEN (-9.5): DEN 4-4
WAS (-3) @ SEA: WAS 6-1-1
NYG (-3) @ ARI: NYG 5-2-1
IND @ SD (-2.5): SD 5-3
GB @ NO (-2.5): GB 5-3

That makes the picks:

Pittsburgh -11
Houston +3
Kansas City +3
Tennessee -5
Miami -1
San Francisco +10
Detroit +7.5
Philadelphia +1
St. Louis +7.5
Minnesota +1
Atlanta -1
Oakland +9.5
Washington -3
NY Giants -3
San Diego -2.5
Green Bay +2.5

I'll probably take the following teams on the ML: Houston, Kansas City, Philadelphia, Minnesota, Green Bay, and a half unit play on SF, Det, Stl, and Oak.

Good luck to all this week!

Tim,
Let me start out by saying that I am a huge fan of your system and it's picks. I have been following your picks since you first started posting them. I was very pleased to see that the system had a huge week last week (11-5) and I was looking forward to your Week 12 picks, but you never posted them. I was wondering what your thoughts were on tonights game between Green Bay and New Orleans? I really could use a winner here.
Thanks.

The week 12 picks were the post right before your reply.

As for tonight, I like Green Bay on the moneyline and the over.

I apologize for not seeing them. I look for your picks every week and I swear that I did not see them until today. Do you have to be logged in to see it? I did not think that was a requirement. Anyway, thanks for responding to my question. How strong of a play do you think Green Bay and the over is tonight? I need a strong play tonight to get even.
Thanks.

No worries.

Green Bay is a 5-3 pick. The 5-3 picks are now 14-22 on the season, going 1-3 so far this week. However, I like them because I like Green Bay's defense better in this game, and because AccuScore has Green Bay to win outright. AccuScore is 6-4 picking winners in Green Bay's games this year, and 8-2 picking winners in New Orleans games. AccuScore is also predicting winners at a 60% rate when the spread is between -3 and +3 for the home team.

I also like the over because New Orleans can't stop the pass, and while I like Green Bay's defense better, they also have struggled stopping the run.

Thanks for your feedback. My original instinct was telling me GB and the over, but I got to thinking that the GB defensive secondary might slow down Brees just enough to keep this game from going over.
Thanks.