| NFL Waiver Wire Wonders: Week Ten |
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The waiver wire is usually the same each week. You’ve got your Gus Frerotte type quarterbacks who put up 10-15 points per week guaranteed, but who never have a big game to make them worth owning. You’ve got the goal line running backs, guys with split roles like Kevin Faulk in New England, and the occasional Leonard Weaver or Peyton Hillis who catches for over 100 yards and a touchdown, but is eligible at running back. That’s not the case this week. We’ve got three new starting quarterbacks, four running backs who might actually be full time starters, plus a few wide receivers in line for some big weeks ahead, and some sleeper tight end options for the week. If your team has been struggling, or if you want to add the final pieces for your playoff push, this is the week to hit the waiver wire. Since this is a big week, and since today is Election Day, I’m going to keep this short and get right to the Waiver Wire Wonders, so that I can then go right to the polls and vote while everyone else is at work. Don’t forget about the Thursday night game this week. Quarterbacks Brady Quinn – I don’t get the Browns at all. Derek Anderson throws for three touchdowns and six interceptions in the first four games of the season, averaging 136 passing yards per game, and there is no mention of Brady Quinn. Anderson throws six touchdowns and one interception in the next four game stretch, averaging 228 yards per game, and the Browns decide to bench him for Quinn. They play Denver this week, so Quinn is a must add for all of you Anderson owners, and is a great starting option this week. AccuScore simulations rank Quinn as the 13th best quarterback option this week, passing for 221 yards with two or more touchdowns in 34 percent of simulations. Shaun Hill – Let’s not forget about Hill, who had a good second half replacing J.T. O’Sullivan against the Seahawks. Hill came in and completed 15 of 23 passes for 173 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. This week he plays the Cardinals, and AccuScore has him ranked as the tenth best quarterback option this week, passing for 223 yards and a touchdown, while adding 15 rushing yards, and throwing an interception in just 81 percent of simulations. Sage Rosenfels – Matt Schaub will be out for at least four weeks, giving Rosenfels the start. He’s not a long term guy, as he won’t help your team once Schaub returns, but he’s better than Quinn and Hill in the short term. Over the next four weeks, AccuScore simulations have Rosenfels averaging 12.55 points per week, while Quinn is averaging 11.52 points per week, and Hill is averaging 12.32 points per week. Rosenfels really only holds a considerable advantage in week 13, so if you need long term help, you might want to take the hit that week and go with Hill or Quinn. If you’re just replacing Schaub, Rosenfels is the guy to get. Running Backs Tim Hightower – If he’s still available in your league, now is the time to grab him. I’ve been saying for several weeks that he’s a solid option just waiting for more carries. He got 22 carries on Sunday, running for 109 yards and a touchdown. AccuScore simulations have him ranked as the eighth best running back option this week, running for 78 yards, catching for 30 yards, and scoring a touchdown in 96 percent of simulations. Ray Rice – With Willis McGahee banged up, Rice got 21 carries, and ran for 154 yards against the Browns. The performance was against the Browns, so that played a part in the production, but Rice seems to be legit, with 70 carries for 339 yards this season, or 4.8 yards per carry. He could get a start this weekend against the Texans. AccuScore has him ranked as the 13th best running back option this week, running for 62 yards, catching for 40 yards, and scoring a touchdown in 58 percent of simulations. Cedric Benson – After a tough first week against the Steelers, and not enough carries against the Texans, Benson broke out against the Jaguars for 104 yards and a touchdown on 24 carries. He’s on a bye this week, then returns against some tough run defenses like Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore, which will make it hard to reproduce the numbers we saw this past weekend. Jamaal Charles – It seems like Larry Johnson’s problems may never end, Kolby Smith is out for the season, and that makes Charles the go to guy in Kansas City. Charles ran for 106 yards on 18 carries last week, and has a few favorable matchups down the stretch, like New Orleans, Oakland, and Denver. Charles is the 12th best running back in AccuScore simulations this week, running for 94 yards, and adding 21 receiving yards. He’s the best long term option on the waiver wire, as there is no guarantee how long Rice will start, and Benson has a much tougher schedule. Wide Receivers Derrick Mason – If you take out the week eight game against Oakland, Mason has caught at least four passes in every game this year, and has caught for 70 yards or more in four of his last six games. This week he goes up against the Texans, and AccuScore simulations have him ranked as the tenth best receiver. Mason is catching six passes for 77 yards in simulations, with a 28 percent chance of scoring a touchdown. Michael Jenkins – Jenkins has caught for at least 50 yards in each of the last three weeks, but added two touchdowns this past week. That is unlikely to happen again, but expect Jenkins to have another good set of weeks, getting the Saints in week ten, and the Broncos in week eleven. AccuScore simulations rank Jenkins as the 22nd best wide receiver this week, catching four passes for 52 yards, with a 45 percent chance of scoring a touchdown. Kevin Curtis – Curtis is healthy, but only owned in a little more than half of leagues. He caught six passes for 83 yards last week, and has a favorable schedule ahead, taking on the Giants twice, Bengals, Cardinals, and Browns, all of which allow at least 19 points a week to wide receivers, and at least one receiving touchdown per game. AccuScore ranks Curtis as the 30th best receiver this week, catching three passes for 50 yards, with a 26 percent chance of reaching the end zone. Tight Ends Brent Celek – Celek replaced LJ Smith last week and caught six passes for 131 yards. He’s worth owning if Smith can’t return from an injury this week. Marcedes Lewis – Lewis has been playing a bigger role in the Jacksonville passing offense, catching ten passes in his last three games. The Jaguars play the Lions this week, making Lewis a great start. AccuScore simulations have him as the 11th ranked tight end this week. Donald Lee – Lee is the tenth ranked tight end in AccuScore simulations this week, catching three passes for 31 yards with a touchdown in 21 percent of simulations. Lee has caught 11 passes for 79 yards and two touchdowns in his last four games. His value heavily relies on him reaching the end zone, and since Minnesota is the tenth worst team against fantasy tight ends, there is a good chance of that happening this week. Defense/Special Teams Miami – After doing a great job shutting down the Broncos, AccuScore has Miami ranked as the eighth best defensive option this week against Seattle, allowing 14 points, and recording three sacks and one turnover. Trackback(0)
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