NCAAF Suggestions 9-26-09 | AccuScore
AccuScore
NCAAF Suggestions 9-26-09
Written by Zach Rosenfield   

Everyone has an opinion and chances are you joined this site because you are interested in AccuScore's. I have gotten a lot of email about my personal picks and how I use the AccuScore computer to narrow down my selections. This is a slippery slope because AccuScore posts its record based on every game, whereas I apply various aspects of my toolbox to my selections.

When I look at the weekly menu, the first thing I look for is a point spread that jumps out at me. Something that looks like a miss or good value. I will also preface that I am not big on taking points. It's not that taking points is a bad thing, it just is not my thing. Once I see a game I like, I look at the ATS % in the Live Betting Predictions and then follow it up with a series of cross referencing analysis in the Daily Line Report. It is early in the season so you the DLR is not the firm source it will be a month from now, but ifthe DLR is not a key factor in your AccuScore method you are a fool.

When I look at the DLR, I starting out looking to see if my picks are bad. I already think my picks are good, otherwise they wouldn't be "my" picks. So I am looking to discredit them. I want to see if the computer says I am wrong. If the trends and history around my pick are at about 50% so far, I am ok with it. Again, only three weeks of data has been loaded in there so 50% is not going to de-value my selection.

Next step is knowing your team. As Gordon Gecko said, "The public's out there throwing darts at a board, sport. I don't throw darts at a board. I bet on sure things." While there is no such thing as a sure thing in sports, there are plenty of dart throwers out there. You should never make a play on a game if you are not familiar with the teams. Information is so key and you want to have a good feeling of what you are getting, especially if you are laying points.

Here are the games that stand out to me, and my reasoning:


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