AccuScore provides industry leading sports simulations, game forecasts, betting predictions, and fantasy tools for the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAAF and NCAAB.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

The AL Central is really the only remaining playoff race in the American League.  The Rangers are technically still alive, but after blowing Sunday’s game vs the Rays they are virtually mathematically eliminated.  The Rangers are only making the playoffs in 46 out of 10,000 simulations. 

The Tigers are clinging to a 2 game lead in the AL Central with a huge 4 game series vs the Twins starting Monday.  AccuScore actually has the Twins a slight to solid favorite in 3 of 4 games, including the first game of the series with starters Nick Blackburn and Rick Porcello.    

Even though the Twins are winning over 50% in 3 of 4 games the most common result in the 4 game series is a 2-2 split.  This fact combined with the current 2 game lead are enough to keep the Tigers a solid 69.6 percent favorite to win the AL Central.  However, this 69.9 percent is down from 82.8 percent last week. 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

The Colorado Rockies have a key 2.5 game lead for the NL Wild Card over the Atlanta Braves. The Braves are expected to close this gap by winning nearly 67 percent of their remaining game simulations vs just 50 percent for Colorado.  The Braves are heavy favorites in their 3 game home series vs the Florida Marlins which is why the Marlins only have a 0.2 percent chance of making the playoffs.  The Giants are also virtually eliminated with the same 0.2 percent chance. 

Most likely the Braves will not have time to cover the 2.5 games.  On average, they are finishing 1.5 games behind the Rockies.   

The other race in the National League is for seeding.  The Dodgers not only currently have 3 more wins than the Cardinals and Phillies, they also are solid 65 percent favored in the rest of their game simulations.  The Dodgers have a 92 percent chance of finishing with the best record in the National League. 

The Phillies and Cardinals both have 90 wins, but the Phillies have 1 more game to play and they have a higher win percentage over the rest of their game simulations.  On average, the Phillies are finishing with a 1 game lead over the Cardinals and Philadelphia has a 79 percent chance of finishing with the 2^nd best record in the National League.