Author: RotoExperts Staff
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that may pique your interest.
With Force Friday on September 1, we wanted to start off with Star Wars odds.
1. Will The Last Jedi have the highest opening weekend gross in 2017?
Will “The Last Jedi” be the biggest selling Star Wars movie of all-time?
Our take: Yes (-300).
In 2015, The Force Awakens opened at over $253 million in 2015. The closest opening since then has been Captain America: Civil War in May of last year with $182 million. So even if you want to argue that the Star Wars hype is dying down, with too many movies and its ubiquity…the movie’s box office still has a healthy lead over anything that has come at it in the last year.
1. Will The Last Jedi exceed $1 billion in box office by 1/18?
Our take: No (+200).
Look, we don’t actually believe that Star Wars is going to dip below $1 billion worldwide, but we can’t keep taking the favorite here, because that’s boring. Of the Star Wars wagers we had in front of us, this is the most likely.
The Force Awakens made over $2 billion worldwide, so for Episode VIII to win this wager for us, it’ll have to be a slow roll in the first month of release. Has enough time passed — two years — between VII and VIII for technology to condition would-be moviegoers to stay home and watch it on big TVs with state-of-the-art sound systems? There will have to be some degree of drama for the box office to slow down so dramatically; bad early reviews, sour buzz, perhaps a raw copy of the film hitting the internet?
Whatever the case may be, this is a very unlikely scenario, but still one worth throwing a wager on if you want to take a longshot Star Wars bet.
3. Will Donald Trump be President by year end 2018?
Our take: No (+200).
Shifting gears for this one. Donald Trump is a stubborn man who will likely not give up the presidency. And if this was for the end of 2017, we’d easily go with “Yes.” But President Trump has made enemies at a far quicker pace than any modern president. And with thousands of people digging for anything to use to push him out of office, chances are something will pop up that an opponent can use in the next six months, which could lead to a removal by the end of next year.
By this time next year, we’ll be in the midst of midterm elections. With the rate of unpredictability from President Trump, a dozen heretofore unthought-of scenarios could still play out. In 16 months, there’s a very good chance that something uncharted could occur, and that is what drives this wager.
Back to football tomorrow!
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