Author: Jake Ciely, Senior Writer

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a high-scoring option on your bench. I developed it years ago, and it accounts for defensive quality of play by position, adjusts for game situations and strength of offenses and spits out an adjusted Fantasy Points allowed. Using Fantasy Football Points allowed is valuable in itself to help make lineup decisions, but it’s imperfect, as a team facing Tom Brady should give up more points and passing yards than one facing Jay Cutler every week. This isn’t a tool to argue benching Mike Evans for Kenny Stills, but it helps you decide which RB3 is a better play or which WR4 could put up a WR2 type Week 11.

Fantasy Football Week 11 Matchup Rankings

QB Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1Kansas City ChiefsNYG25.815Philadelphia EaglesDAL15.3
2Arizona CardinalsHOU23.816Chicago BearsDET15.1
3New York GiantsKC21.917Denver BroncosCIN14.3
4Houston TexansARI21.318Pittsburgh SteelersTEN14.2
5New Orleans SaintsWSH21.119Los Angeles ChargersBUF14.0
6New England PatriotsOAK20.820Atlanta FalconsSEA13.2
7Tampa Bay BuccaneersMIA20.721Los Angeles RamsMIN12.9
8Jacksonville JaguarsCLE19.522Buffalo BillsLAC11.8
9Miami DolphinsTB19.023Washington RedskinsNO11.4
10Oakland RaidersNE18.724Tennessee TitansPIT10.8
11Baltimore RavensGB18.525Minnesota VikingsLAR10.0
12Cincinnati BengalsDEN16.126Detroit LionsCHI9.8
13Seattle SeahawksATL15.427Green Bay PackersBAL8.2
14Dallas CowboysPHI15.328Cleveland BrownsJAX7.2

Alex Smith vs. Matthew Stafford

Smith cooled off before the Chiefs bye with quiet games against the Steelers and Broncos, a decent game against the Cowboys and a great performance in Oakland. You can easily see by the matchups, that Smith throwing for at least one touchdown in each game is actually a testament to his 2017 performance. Smith has put himself in a must-start conversation and Top 10 quarterback value the rest of the season. For those concerned about the cool down though, just as with the Raiders, Smith should come out of the bye hot… especially with how Andy Reid teams perform after the bye week. The Giants are the best matchup for quarterbacks this week with the linebackers being a walking MASH unit and the secondary giving up. Smith is even in the Top 5 discussion in Week 11.

As for Stafford, the Lions have been passing more of late, and Stafford has turned back into an appealing Fantasy quarterback. That won’t be the case this week, as the Bears have quietly been one of the toughest matchups for opposing quarterbacks. They have a low 9.8 FPAD for quarterbacks and are even stronger at home. Outside of Aaron Rodgers, no quarterback has thrown for multiple touchdowns. In fact, the Bears have given up just five passing touchdowns in their eight games. Rodgers is only one of two quarterbacks to top 16 Fantasy points against them, and Matt Ryan’s performance came way back in Week 1.

Also Good:Eli Manning – Discussed in the waiver piece and rankings/sleepers.

Also Bad:Case Keenum – The ride could end this week.

Other Matchup Boosted QBs: Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Blake Bortles, Derek Carr

RB Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1Los Angeles ChargersBUF34.315Cleveland BrownsJAX17.0
2Tampa Bay BuccaneersMIA24.916Jacksonville JaguarsCLE16.7
3Miami DolphinsTB24.617Minnesota VikingsLAR16.2
4New England PatriotsOAK24.018Cincinnati BengalsDEN16.0
5Kansas City ChiefsNYG22.119Green Bay PackersBAL15.8
6Chicago BearsDET22.020Pittsburgh SteelersTEN14.6
7Denver BroncosCIN21.721Houston TexansARI14.4
8New York GiantsKC21.522Philadelphia EaglesDAL13.9
9Baltimore RavensGB20.923Washington RedskinsNO13.0
10Buffalo BillsLAC20.324Atlanta FalconsSEA12.6
11New Orleans SaintsWSH19.825Dallas CowboysPHI10.7
12Detroit LionsCHI19.326Los Angeles RamsMIN10.6
13Oakland RaidersNE18.627Tennessee TitansPIT10.5
14Seattle SeahawksATL18.128Arizona CardinalsHOU10.0

Damien Williams vs. Alfred Morris

week 11 defense

Cooper has the defensive matchup to post his second best game of the season. Image Credit: AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez

While Kenyan Drake is clearly the better talent, the Dolphins insist on turning to Williams, even as the lead option. Drake didn’t make his mark until later in the game last week with Williams leading the way. Williams is a good weapon in the passing game, and the Buccaneers provide a matchup where it won’t matter much who “leads” as long as Williams hits double-digit touches. Outside of last week’s game, the Bucs have given up a double-digit PPR score each week with more of them coming from pass catchers. Drake is a good pass catcher as well, but Williams has the slight edge in that department.

This matchup is about the PPR value, and arguably, Morris is even riskier in a Non-PPR league. The Eagles are dominant against the run, especially between the tackles. They are more forgiving to pass-catching running backs, but that is definitely not Morris’ strong suit. That’s Rod Smith’s value. Every running back that has managed to hit double-digits against the Eagles has been a strong pass-catcher or pure passing-down option. Not one between-the-tackles type has even topped five Fantasy points. Add in the likelihood that the Eagles push the scoring, and Morris is best left benched where possible.

Also Good:Doug Martin – As with Manning, Martin was in the sleeper section this week.

Also Bad:Derrick Henry – His value is in blowouts or terrific matchups. This is neither.

Other Matchup Boosted RBs: Melvin Gordon, Patriots mess, Kareem Hunt, Jordan Howard, C.J. Anderson, Orleans Darkwa, Alex Collins, LeSean McCoy

WR Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1Arizona CardinalsHOU36.115Jacksonville JaguarsCLE19.9
2New York GiantsKC35.116Tennessee TitansPIT18.3
3Kansas City ChiefsNYG32.317Buffalo BillsLAC17.2
4Oakland RaidersNE30.418Detroit LionsCHI16.6
5Baltimore RavensGB30.019Los Angeles RamsMIN16.2
6Miami DolphinsTB25.320Seattle SeahawksATL16.0
7Tampa Bay BuccaneersMIA24.521Los Angeles ChargersBUF15.1
8Houston TexansARI24.222Dallas CowboysPHI14.9
9Philadelphia EaglesDAL23.923Denver BroncosCIN13.8
10New England PatriotsOAK23.624Minnesota VikingsLAR13.7
11Atlanta FalconsSEA22.625Washington RedskinsNO12.4
12Pittsburgh SteelersTEN21.226Green Bay PackersBAL11.5
13New Orleans SaintsWSH21.227Cincinnati BengalsDEN11.2
14Chicago BearsDET20.028Cleveland BrownsJAX9.0

Amari Cooper vs. davante Adams

It’s been an extremely disappointing season for Cooper, but as with his huge Thursday night game, a matchup with the Patriots provides the potential for a good week. Some have argued that the Patriots defense is playing better of late, but then they just let both Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas top 15 points. In fact, the Patriots have allowed 17 double-digit PPR games to receivers already. That’s nearly two per game. Even though Michael Crabtree is (still) the best Raiders receiver, Cooper has more upside this week than he has for most of the season.

Fortunately for Adams, Brett Hundley loves to target him. That fact has kept Adams’ value alive, but the matchup this week points to a rough day. The Ravens have the third lowest FPAD for receivers, giving up just five touchdowns to them on the year… and two of them came in their last game against the Titans. Only four receivers have hit the 13-point PPR mark against the Ravens, and three of them came with a touchdown. With the Ravens ability to limit the pass and Hundley’s continued struggles, even Adams is a risky start in Week 11 for the Packers receivers.

Also Good:Larry Fitzgerald – Even with the change to Blaine Gabbert, the Texans defense simply can’t stop the pass.

Also Bad:Kenny Britt – You think he’s showing up again, this season, let alone against the Jaguars?

Other Matchup Boosted WRs: Sterling Shepard, Tyreek Hill, Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin, DeVante Parker, Jarvis Landry, Mike Evans, Alshon Jeffery, Brandin Cooks

TE Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1Cincinnati BengalsDEN17.115Miami DolphinsTB6.6
2Kansas City ChiefsNYG16.216Chicago BearsDET6.0
3New Orleans SaintsWSH12.017New York GiantsKC5.9
4Jacksonville JaguarsCLE11.618Pittsburgh SteelersTEN5.9
5Tampa Bay BuccaneersMIA10.619Minnesota VikingsLAR5.5
6New England PatriotsOAK10.320Buffalo BillsLAC5.2
7Dallas CowboysPHI9.821Washington RedskinsNO5.1
8Houston TexansARI8.822Oakland RaidersNE5.1
9Los Angeles ChargersBUF8.623Cleveland BrownsJAX5.0
10Arizona CardinalsHOU8.524Seattle SeahawksATL4.8
11Denver BroncosCIN8.425Los Angeles RamsMIN4.6
12Green Bay PackersBAL8.226Tennessee TitansPIT4.3
13Philadelphia EaglesDAL7.827Detroit LionsCHI3.5
14Atlanta FalconsSEA7.728Baltimore RavensGB3.3

Cameron Brate vs. Eric Ebron

Owners are frustrated with Brate after his last two games totaling just two catches and 19 yards. However, Brate had scored double-digits in every game since Week 2 before that and had a run of four straight games with a touchdown. The Dolphins give Brate the opportunity to get back on track. They have fallen apart defensively with four double-digit scores given up in the last five games. The game against the Ravens didn’t see a score that high, but Ben Watson caught a touchdown, as did Ed Dickson last week. As long as Ryan Fitzpatrick shows up this week, Brate is in line for a TE1 performance.

I hope you enjoyed Ebron’s Week 10 performance because he’s not repeating it this week. The Bears have the second lowest FPAD for tight ends and have given up just two touchdowns to them… none since Week 5 (Kyle Rudolph). In fact, in Non-PPR, no tight end has topped 2.9 Fantasy points since Rudolph with two negative performances! Ebron has just two scores over six points in Non-PPR and over eight points in PPR. He won’t make it three this week.

Other Matchup Boosted TEs: Tyler Kroft, Travis Kelce, Marcedes Lewis, Rob Gronkowski, Jason Witten

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