Serie-A
Totals

Over/Under

3.0

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
Side Value
7.5%
77.9%
14.6%
Game Projection
  • SPAL
    0.87
  • Roma
    2.9
Big Win
  • SPAL
    N/A
  • Roma
    N/A
Close Win
  • SPAL
    N/A
  • Roma
    N/A

Game Prediction

SERIE-A: SPAL @ Roma 10/20/2018
There is a 14.5% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Roma, at 77.9%, are heavy favorites to beat SPAL who have a 7.5% chance. In simulation wins, SPAL upsets Roma by averaging 10.2 shots and 3.9 shots on goal. They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Roma 2.9 to SPAL 0.9.

SPAL

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Mirco Antenucci 1.82 0.67 0.27 24.02%
Andrea Petagna 1.99 0.9 0.25 22.32%
Jasmin Kurtic 1.34 0.29 0.12 11.24%
Felipe Dias da Silva DalBelo 0.51 0.23 0.06 5.96%
Manuel Lazzari 0.72 0.18 0.05 5%
Simone Missiroli 0.6 0.17 0.05 4.82%
Rest of Team 2.2 0.19 0.19 --
Team Total 9.18 2.64 0.87 --

PLAYERS

Roma

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Edin Dzeko 5.94 2.08 0.63 46.56%
Javier Matías Pastore 1.56 0.58 0.38 31.18%
Cengiz Ünder 2.75 1.27 0.37 31.26%
Bryan Cristante 1.89 0.61 0.37 30.76%
Lorenzo Pellegrini 2.09 0.94 0.28 24.06%
Patrik Schick 1.75 0.89 0.26 23.02%
Rest of Team 4.1 1.29 1.29 --
Team Total 20.08 7.67 2.9 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • SPAL
  • Roma
  • SPAL
  • Roma
SPAL Trends Roma Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 3-5-0 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 3-2-2
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 1-3-0 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 1-0-2
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 0 of 8 games 0.0% Win by 2 or More 1 of 7 games 14.3%
Lose by 2 or More 2 of 8 games 25.0% Lose by 2 or More 1 of 7 games 14.3%
When Underdog W-L-D: 2-4-0 When Underdog W-L-D: 0-1-0
Road Underdog W-L-D: 1-3-0 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-0-0
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 8-16-14 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 51-14-11
Road Last Season W-L-D: 3-10-6 Home Last Season W-L-D: 27-8-3
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 3 of 38 games 7.9% Win by 2 or More (LS) 33 of 76 games 43.4%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 10 of 38 games 26.3% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 5 of 76 games 6.6%
Over-Under O-U: 4-4 Over-Under O-U: 4-3
Road Over-Under O-U: 1-2 Home Over-Under O-U: 1-3
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 8 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 7 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 3 of 8 games 37.5% Total: 3 or More Goals 4 of 7 games 57.1%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 5 of 8 games 62.5% Total: 2 or Less Goals 3 of 7 games 42.9%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 76 games 0.0%