NFL
New Orleans Saints
++4.5
Minnesota Vikings
-4.5

Accuscore Probability

-5
-4

Over/Under

45.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
45
under
46
over
Money Line
Side Value
50.7%
49.3%
Game Projection
  • New Orleans Saints
    22.6 Points
  • Minnesota Vikings
    23.1 Points
Big Win
  • NO
    28.4%
  • MIN
    28.9%
Close Win
  • NO
    12.1%
  • MIN
    10.7%

Game Prediction

NFL: New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings
Expect a close game with the New Orleans Saints winning 50% of simulations, and the Minnesota Vikings 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New Orleans Saints commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Minnesota Vikings wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drew Brees is averaging 281 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Latavius Murray is averaging 90 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.

New Orleans Saints

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Drew Brees 30.2 282.0 2.2 0.7

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Mark Ingram 9.2 33.1 3.5 0.2
Alvin Kamara 8.8 18.0 1.9 0.1
Ted Ginn Jr. 0.6 3.3 5.3

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Michael Thomas 6.7 69.3 10.3 0.5
Ted Ginn Jr. 4.4 49.0 11.1 0.4
Josh Hill 4.6 36.4 7.9 0.3
Mark Ingram 4.7 36.0 7.7 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
NO 2.0 0.8 0.5 1.3

Minnesota Vikings

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Case Keenum 24.0 260.5 1.2 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Latavius Murray 14.9 89.9 5.9 0.8
Jerick McKinnon 7.1 35.7 4.9 0.2
Case Keenum 1.9 5.7 2.9 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Stefon Diggs 4.0 40.6 10.2 0.1
Adam Thielen 2.9 40.4 13.9 0.2
Michael Floyd 2.5 36.5 14.6 0.1
Jarius Wright 2.6 31.0 11.9 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
MIN 1.8 0.7 0.5 1.2

Trends

  • New Orleans Saints
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • New Orleans Saints
  • Minnesota Vikings
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
New Orleans Saints ATS RECORD Minnesota Vikings ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8-8-1 All Games 11-4-1 Minnesota Vikings
Road Games 4-4-0 Home Games 6-1-0 Minnesota Vikings
When Underdog 1-3-0 When Favored 8-3-1 Minnesota Vikings
Non-Division Opp 4-5-1 Non-Division Opp 8-2-0 Minnesota Vikings
Opp .500+ Record 6-2-0 Opp .500+ Record 7-3-0 New Orleans Saints
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
New Orleans Saints ATS RECORD Minnesota Vikings ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 11-5-0 All Games 9-7-0 New Orleans Saints
Road Games 7-1-0 Home Games 6-2-0 New Orleans Saints
When Underdog 8-1-0 When Favored 6-4-0 New Orleans Saints
Non-Division Opp 7-3-0 Non-Division Opp 7-3-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-4-0 Opp Under .500 1-2-0 New Orleans Saints
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
New Orleans Saints O-U-P RECORD Minnesota Vikings O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 9-7-1 All Totals (O-U-P) 6-9-1 UNDER
On Road 3-4-1 At Home 2-5-1 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-7-0 All Totals Last Season 6-9-1 UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0 At Home Last Season 3-5-0 UNDER