NCAAF
Point Spread
North Texas Eagles
++8.5
Utah State Aggies
-8.5

Accuscore Probability

-55
44
-9
-8
Totals

Over/Under

66.5

Accuscore Probability

22
121
66
under
67
over
Money Line
Side Value
40.3%
59.7%
Game Projection
  • North Texas Eagles
    33.6 Points
  • Utah State Aggies
    39.0 Points
Big Win
  • NTEX
    20.5%
  • UTST
    39.7%
Close Win
  • NTEX
    9.5%
  • UTST
    11.0%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: North Texas Eagles vs. Utah State Aggies
Utah State is a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat North Texas. Darwin Thompson is projected for 84 rushing yards and a 71% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where North Texas wins, Mason Fine averages 2.12 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.18 TDs to 0.92 interceptions. DeAndre Torrey averages 136 rushing yards and 1.46 rushing TDs when North Texas wins and 125 yards and 0.81 TDs in losses. Utah State has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 72% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST -9 --- Over/Under line is 67.5

North Texas Eagles

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Mason Fine 21.7 267.8 1.5 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
DeAndre Torrey 23.4 129.4 5.5 1.1
Mason Fine 5.9 17.1 2.9 0.1
Nic Smith 3.5 16.1 4.6 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jalen Guyton 3.8 48.7 12.8 0.3
Rico Bussey Jr. 3.6 46.6 12.9 0.3
Michael Lawrence 2.9 37.2 12.8 0.2
Jaelon Darden 2.8 34.5 12.3 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
NTEX 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Utah State Aggies

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Jordan Love 17.6 228.9 1.7 0.7

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Darwin Thompson 13.7 83.7 6.1 1.3
Gerold Bright 6.4 39.7 6.2 0.5
Jordan Love 4.5 9.0 2.0 0.2

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Ron'Quavion Tarver 4.4 54.4 12.4 0.5
Aaren Vaughns 2.8 38.6 13.8 0.2
Jalen Greene 2.8 37.5 13.4 0.3
Dax Raymond 2.1 27.6 13.1 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
UTST 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • North Texas
  • Utah State
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
North Texas ATS RECORD Utah State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 3-6-1 All Games 7-4-0 Utah State
Road & Neutral Field 1-4-0 Road & Neutral Field 3-3-0 Utah State
When Underdog 1-0-0 When Favored 5-3-0 North Texas
Non-Conference Opp 2-0-0 Non-Conference Opp 3-0-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0 Opp .500+ Record 2-1-0 Utah State
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
North Texas ATS RECORD Utah State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 6-6-1 All Games 5-7-0 North Texas
Road & Neutral Field 4-4-0 Road & Neutral Field 3-4-0 North Texas
When Underdog 4-4-0 When Favored 2-2-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1-2-1 Non-Conference Opp 1-3-0 North Texas
Opp Under .500 3-3-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-4-0 North Texas
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
North Texas O-U-P RECORD Utah State O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-8-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 7-4-0 UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field 0-5-0 On Road & Neutral Field 2-4-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-5-0 All Totals Last Season 8-4-0 OVER
On Road & Neutral Field '17 4-4-0 On Road & Neutral Field '17 5-2-0 OVER