NCAAF
LSU Tigers
0
Arkansas Razorbacks
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
Side Value
86.4%
13.5%
Game Projection
  • LSU Tigers
    34.9 Points
  • Arkansas Razorbacks
    17.6 Points
Big Win
  • LSU
    67.2%
  • ARK
    3.0%
Close Win
  • LSU
    7.2%
  • ARK
    6.6%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
LSU is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over Arkansas. Joe Burrow is averaging 167 passing yards and 0.74 TDs per simulation and Nick Brossette is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where Arkansas wins, Ty Storey averages 1.17 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.5 TDs to 1.02 interceptions. Rakeem Boyd averages 83 rushing yards and 0.69 rushing TDs when Arkansas wins and 74 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. LSU has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARK +13.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

LSU Tigers

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Joe Burrow 13.7 166.7 0.7 0.6

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Nick Brossette 18.9 84.7 4.5 1.5
Clyde 9.8 48.4 5.0 0.5
Joe Burrow 8.1 26.1 3.2 0.4

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Justin Jefferson 4.0 54.3 13.6 0.2
Dee Anderson 2.0 23.9 12.0 0.1
Terrace Marshall 1.3 17.6 13.5 0.1
Ja'Marr Chase 1.2 15.7 13.1 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
LSU 0.6 1.0 0.0 1

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Arkansas Razorbacks

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Ty Storey 11.7 144.1 0.6 1.0

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Rakeem Boyd 12.4 75.0 6.0 0.4
Ty Storey 8.7 41.8 4.8 0.2
Chase Hayden 3.7 19.3 5.2 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Cheyenne O'Grady 2.1 26.4 12.6 0.1
Michael Woods 1.8 22.2 12.3 0.1
Rakeem Boyd 1.9 21.9 11.5 0.1
La'Michael Pettway 1.6 21.8 13.6 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
ARK 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.6

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
LSU ATS RECORD Arkansas ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 5-3-0 All Games 4-4-0 LSU
Road & Neutral Field 2-1-0 Home Games 3-2-0 LSU
When Favored 2-2-0 When Underdog 3-2-0 Arkansas
Conference Opp 4-2-0 Conference Opp 3-2-0 LSU
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
LSU ATS RECORD Arkansas ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8-4-0 All Games 4-7-0 LSU
Road & Neutral Field 5-2-0 Home Games 3-3-0 LSU
When Favored 5-4-0 When Underdog 3-5-0 LSU
Conference Opp 7-1-0 Conference Opp 3-5-0 LSU
Opp Under .500 3-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 3-6-0 LSU
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
LSU O-U-P RECORD Arkansas O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 2-6-0 UNDER
On Road 2-1-0 At Home 2-3-0 No Edge
All Totals Last Season 4-8-0 All Totals Last Season 6-4-0 UNDER
On Road Last Season 1-6-0 At Home Last Season 3-2-0 UNDER