May 16, 2018 8:48 AM CDT

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals 5/17/2018

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 51.7 percent favorites over the Washington Capitals. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +0 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 31 shots for the Capitals. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.9% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrey Vasilevskiy 28, Braden Holtby 28 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.3, Alex Ovechkin 4.3 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.55, Alex Ovechkin 0.69 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 58% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nicklas Backstrom has a 53% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-17, 63% 817Record at Home31-17, 65% 375Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Washington Capitals3-3, 50% -15VS Tampa Bay Lightning3-3, 50% 121Washington Capitals
vs Team .500 or Better39-21, 65% 885vs Team .500 or Better37-26, 59% 849Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog10-5, 67% 602Record As Home Favorite31-16, 66% 475Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off57-25, 70% -5045After 1 or More Days Off52-31, 63% -3830Washington Capitals

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-1, 80% 322Record at Home3-2, 60% 34Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Washington Capitals1-2, 33% -90VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-1, 67% 235Washington Capitals
vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -90vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 235Washington Capitals
Record As Road Underdog3-0, 100% 354Record As Home Favorite3-2, 60% 34Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -289After 1 or More Days Off10-3, 77% +243Washington Capitals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-18, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-19, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-3, 25% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-21, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON24-12, 67% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home41-20, 67% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road41-24, 63% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 28-18, 61% -868 Washington Capitals Home Games: 25-23, 52% -317 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-2, 60% +44 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-2, 60% +34

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 25-21, 54% -36 Washington Capitals Home Games: 31-17, 65% 372 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-2, 60% +112 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-2, 60% +34

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 25-18, 58% + 475 Washington Capitals Home Games: 18-21, 46% -462 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Washington Capitals Home Games: 2-2, 50% -18

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