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February 27, 2013 3:01 PM UTC

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 2/27/2013

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The Montreal Canadiens are slight 50.3 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Canadiens are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 35 shots on goal vs 31 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.9% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 91.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Carey Price 28, Ben Scrivens 32 SHOTS: Max Pacioretty 3.4, Phil Kessel 3.8 GOALS: Tomas Plekanec 0.45, James van Riemsdyk 0.57 PTS: Max Pacioretty has a 45% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Phil Kessel has a 46% chance of 1+PTs

'11-12 SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Montreal CanadiensRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 171Record at Home4-4, 50% -44Montreal Canadiens
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-2, 0% -200VS Montreal Canadiens2-0, 100% 276Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better3-5, 38% -238vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% 148Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -13Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% -2Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off10-5, 67% -892After 1 or More Days Off11-6, 65% -188Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% 56Record at Home4-2, 67% 156Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100VS Montreal Canadiens1-0, 100% 150Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -234vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -173Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -13Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% -2Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -743After 1 or More Days Off9-4, 69% -309Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under

Montreal CanadiensRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-4, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-5, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON15-20, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON24-15, 62% OverUNDER
Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home4-4, 50% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road5-6, 45% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-5, 29% -312 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -22 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 1-5, 17% -427 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -21

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-4, 43% -125 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-4, 50% +-22 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -21

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-1, 75% + 173 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 346 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 82 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 355

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