February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars 9/29/2013

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The Indianapolis Colts are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars. Trent Richardson is projected for 70 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Blaine Gabbert averages 1.1 TD passes vs 0.34 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.7 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. Maurice Jones-Drew averages 117 rushing yards and 0.73 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 71 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. The Indianapolis Colts has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDJacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-8-1All Games6-10-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games4-4-1Home Games2-6-0Indianapolis Colts
When Favored5-5-1When Underdog6-10-0Indianapolis Colts
Division Opp5-0-1Division Opp4-2-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp Under .5004-2-1Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Indianapolis Colts

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDJacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-5-0All Games7-9-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games4-4-0Home Games2-6-0Indianapolis Colts
When Favored5-1-0When Underdog7-9-0Indianapolis Colts
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp3-3-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp Under .5006-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Indianapolis Colts

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Indianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDJacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)9-7-0OVER
On Road5-4-0At Home4-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-9-1All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-4-1At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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