Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals 9/23/2012
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Expect a close game with the Philadelphia Eagles winning 58% of simulations, and the Arizona Cardinals 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Philadelphia Eagles commit fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The Arizona Cardinals wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. LeSean McCoy is averaging 82 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Beanie Wells is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Philadelphia Eagles | ATS RECORD | Arizona Cardinals | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 2-4-0 | All Games | 3-3-1 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Road Games | 1-2-0 | Home Games | 2-2-1 | Arizona Cardinals |
| When Favored | 1-4-0 | When Underdog | 3-0-1 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Non-Division Opp | 1-4-0 | Non-Division Opp | 2-2-1 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-1-1 | Arizona Cardinals |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Philadelphia Eagles | ATS RECORD | Arizona Cardinals | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-8-0 | All Games | 8-7-1 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Road Games | 5-3-0 | Home Games | 4-3-0 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| When Favored | 5-7-0 | When Underdog | 6-5-0 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-7-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-5-0 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | Arizona Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Eagles | O-U-P RECORD | Arizona Cardinals | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-3-0 | At Home | 1-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-8-1 | All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-4-1 | At Home Last Season | 5-3-0 | OVER |
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